Prediction Edge
High Impact20d
Chris Carmichael

Chris Carmichael

61%

Chris Carmichael is now leading with 61% odds in the Kansas 4th District Democratic nominee race, ahead by 58.0 points.

Democrat
Chris Carmichael

Overview

Current roleU.S. Air Force colonel (retired)

PartyDemocratic

GenderMale

LocationKansas

BackgroundU.S. Air Force colonel (retired)

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Notable personal detailsChris Carmichael is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Kansas’ 4th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He is a retired U.S. Air Force colonel with a military career spanning 31 years, including service in the Army and Air Force and time deployed to Afghanistan. He has lived in Andover, Kansas and has emphasized bipartisan problem-solving themes in his campaign branding (“Building Common Ground”).

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports policies to invest in job training and opposes corporate tax breaks that he views as unfair; backs federal marijuana legalization as a source of jobs and tax revenue. Positions emphasize generating public revenue for programs and limiting special tax incentives for large projects.

Healthcare

Supports the goal of ‘healthcare for all’ while advocating near-term reforms including price transparency, lower costs, and measures to keep rural hospitals open. Emphasizes making healthcare local and affordable for Kansans.

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Immigration & Border

Supports a strong, controlled border while also advocating for faster legal pathways for workers to obtain visas and apply for citizenship. Endorses border enforcement coupled with reforms to speed legal immigration for labor needs.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate's campaign states a commitment to championing women’s rights, explicitly listing reproductive freedom among those priorities. Public campaign materials present support for reproductive freedom but do not specify limits or detailed policy prescriptions in the cited text.

Climate & Energy

Supports American-made clean energy and energy/water-use standards for projects like data centers, while opposing developments that would overload the power grid or drive up costs; emphasizes practical clean-energy job creation without increasing pollution or costs to Kansans.

Latest Insights

KS-04 Democratic nominee?

20dHigh Impact

Chris Carmichael is now leading with 61% odds in the Kansas 4th District Democratic nominee race, ahead by 58.0 points.

61%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

Chris Carmichael is running as a Democratic candidate in Kansas’s 4th Congressional District and is trying to make the race more competitive in 2026. He has criticized Republican incumbent Ron Estes and said President Donald Trump’s policies could help Democrats in the district. The reporting also notes the Democratic primary field is still taking shape ahead of the filing deadline.

fec.gov+37

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$85.4K
$64.1K
$42.7K
$21.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$85.4K
$43.5K
$42.0K
$2.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements