Prediction Edge
Democrat
Claire Valdez

Claire Valdez

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Claire Valdez is trading at 98% to win the NY-07 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyDemocratic Socialist

Age36 years old (Oct 12, 1989)

GenderFemale

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LocationNew York

BackgroundPolitician

EducationSchool of the Art Institute of Chicago (BFA)

Notable personal detailsClaire Marie Valdez is an American politician and union organizer who has served in the New York State Assembly (District 37, Queens) since 2025. She has worked as a program assistant at Columbia University and became active in UAW Local 2110, serving in union leadership roles. She is associated with the Democratic Socialists of America and ran for U.S. House in New York's 7th Congressional District in 2026.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports taxing the wealthy and using public funds to expand social programs and public ownership initiatives. She advocates for policies such as a federal jobs guarantee, the Green New Deal, Medicare for All, and other pro‑worker spending priorities. Her public materials describe taxing the rich to create an economy that benefits working people.

Healthcare

The candidate supports Medicare for All and universal, government-funded health care; she pledges to sponsor Medicare for All on day one and to enact a single‑payer system at the state level (New York Health Act).

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Immigration & Border

Supports dismantling and abolishing ICE, ending mass deportations, and pursuing immigration reform that legalizes the status of millions of immigrants. Advocates protecting immigrant communities and expanding pathways to legal status and citizenship.

Climate & Energy

Supports a Green New Deal-style federal program, aggressive decarbonization and retrofitting of public housing, federal cleanup of contaminated sites, publicly owned renewable energy, and climate action that creates union jobs and holds polluters accountable.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports efforts to address gun violence through legislation focused on victims, survivors, community-based violence prevention, and related public-safety measures. Has carried legislation addressing gun violence and advocated expanding victim services and funding for community anti-violence programs.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 19, 2026

Claire Valdez has won the Democratic primary in New York’s 7th Congressional District and is now the Democratic nominee for the 2026 House race. Her victory came in a closely watched progressive contest and was backed by endorsements from Zohran Mamdani and Bernie Sanders. Since the win, she has been highlighting a left-leaning platform that includes student debt cancellation, tuition-free public higher education, transgender rights, housing, and Medicare for All.

fec.gov+51

Latest Polls

NY-07 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Claire Valdez currently averages 23.4%, ranking second in this race, 1.1 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 23.4%Position: secondMargin: -1.1 ptsLatest poll: 22.9% (May 16 - 17)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through May 16 - 17.

Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
23.4%
24.6%
12.8%
Claire Valdez
C. Valdez
Antonio Reynoso
A. Reynoso
Julie Won
J. Won
Date (Start - End)SpreadValdezReynosoWon
Polling Average
Reynoso+1.1
23.4%24.6%12.8%
Emerson CollegeMay 16 - 17
Valdez+1.8
22.9%21.1%12.8%
Data for ProgressJan 15 - 19
Reynoso+4.0
24.0%28.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.7M
$1.3M
$846.7K
$423.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.7M
$206.8K
$1.5M
$82.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements