Prediction Edge
Republican
Dan Mims

Dan Mims

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds — TX-09 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$19.5KMAY 27, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleBusiness executive

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

LocationTexas

BackgroundBusiness executive

Show more

EducationTexas A&M University (attended)

Notable personal detailsDan Mims is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Texas’s 9th Congressional District. He has been involved in his family’s foodservice distribution business, Mims Meat Company, and has served in community leadership roles. Mims has served on the San Jacinto College Board of Trustees, including leadership roles on board committees. He is from Channelview, Texas.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting taxes, reducing regulation, and returning surplus funds to taxpayers while limiting government growth to help small businesses and job creators. Advocates cutting red tape and allowing taxpayers and businesses to keep more of their money as part of a pro-growth economic agenda.

Immigration & Border

Supports securing the U.S. border, stopping illegal immigration, and providing law enforcement with additional resources to protect Texas communities. Emphasizes enforcement and border control measures rather than expanded legal pathways or asylum protections.

Show more

Public Safety & Guns

Supports the Second Amendment and backing law enforcement; emphasizes keeping government out of the way while protecting communities. Platform language frames protection of gun rights alongside public safety and support for police resources.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Dan Mims is in the news because the 2026 midterm primary season has begun in Texas, where his candidacy is part of the early election action. The primaries are shaping the general election landscape, and redistricting in Texas is also affecting the races. The available information is limited, so there are no further specific developments about his campaign in the summaries provided.

fec.gov+48

Latest Polls

TX-09 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Dan Mims currently averages 5.3%, ranking 4th in this race, 0.1 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 5.3%Position: 4thMargin: -0.1 ptsLatest poll: 6.0% (Feb 9 - 11)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Feb 9 - 11.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
5.3%
28.3%
24.5%
5.3%
Dan Mims
D. Mims
Briscoe Cain
B. Cain
Alexandra del Moral Mealer
A. Mealer
Steve Stockman
S. Stockman
Dwayne Stovall
D. Stovall
Date (Start - End)SpreadMimsCainMealerStockmanStovall
Polling Average
Cain+23.0
5.3%28.3%24.5%5.3%3.3%
Pulse Decision ScienceFeb 9 - 11
Mealer+23.0
6.0%25.0%29.0%6.0%3.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public AffairsFeb 3 - 10
Mealer+24.0
10.0%26.0%34.0%4.0%4.0%
Pulse Decision SicenceDec 15 - 17
Cain+23.0
2.0%25.0%19.0%6.0%3.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesOct 20 - 22
Cain+34.0
3.0%37.0%16.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$425.4K
$319.0K
$212.7K
$106.3K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$425.4K
$2.4K
$423.0K
$23.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements