Prediction Edge
Republican
Dan Smeriglio

Dan Smeriglio

Republican candidate for U.S. Senate in Maine

Live Odds — Maine Republican Senate nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.4%chance to win

$35.0KJUN 10, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Senate candidate (Maine, 2026)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationMaine

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BackgroundU.S. Senate candidate (Maine, 2026)

Notable personal detailsDaniel Christopher Smeriglio is a Republican candidate who filed with the FEC to run for U.S. Senate in Maine (2026). He has described himself publicly as a U.S. Army veteran, former police officer, and the founder of Voice of the People USA Radio and Activist Group. He has also been described as a Frenchville, Maine resident who moved there in 2023.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports major tax cuts and reduced government spending, including slashing federal taxes and seeking state relief; favors cutting regulations and redirecting federal funds away from programs he calls "woke" or "green" initiatives; proposes watchdogs and efficiency measures to eliminate waste and return money to individuals, small businesses, and farms.

Healthcare

Supports market-oriented reforms such as expanding access to tax-free Health Savings Accounts and employer-driven benefits, criticizes insurance companies for high premiums, and says he will pursue reforms to increase affordability and transparency rather than proposing Medicare-for-All or universal single-payer coverage.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes strict enforcement and restricting benefits for undocumented immigrants, calls for securing the border, and opposes protections or public assistance for people in the country illegally. His campaign messaging frames immigration as a threat to Maine resources and supports an enforcement-first approach.

Climate & Energy

Opposes federal environmental initiatives and renewable energy projects such as offshore wind and solar, describing them as “green scams” and saying they raise energy costs. Pledges to block wind and solar development, remove related regulations, and prioritize affordable, ‘‘reliable’’, American-made energy. Advocates cutting green subsidies and redirecting funds away from climate programs toward other priorities.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Dan Smeriglio is in the news because Maine Democrats are scrambling to find a new U.S. Senate nominee after Graham Platner said he will withdraw from the race. The party must pick a replacement by July 27, and several possible candidates have already started or signaled campaigns. The race remains focused on who will take on Republican Sen. Susan Collins in the general election.

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Latest Polls

Maine Republican Senate nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Dan Smeriglio currently averages 3.5%, ranking second in this race, 63.0 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 3.5%Position: secondMargin: -63.0 ptsLatest poll: 6.0% (Feb 12 - 16)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Feb 12 - 16.

Polling Average
80%60%40%20%0%
66.5%
Dan Smeriglio
D. Smeriglio
Susan Collins
S. Collins
Date (Start - End)SpreadSmeriglioCollins
Polling Average
Collins+63.0
3.5%66.5%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16
Collins+61.0
6.0%67.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterOct 16 - 21
Collins+65.0
1.0%66.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising