Prediction Edge

Live Odds — Montana Supreme Court winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleDistrict court judge

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationMontana

BackgroundDistrict court judge

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Notable personal detailsDan Wilson is a Montana Eleventh Judicial District (Flathead County) district court judge based in Kalispell. He previously worked as a prosecutor and later in private practice handling a variety of matters including civil disputes, family law, estate planning, and criminal defense. He has run for statewide judicial office, including a 2024 campaign for Montana Supreme Court Justice (Seat 3), and has continued to campaign for a Montana Supreme Court seat in the 2026 cycle.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Positions himself as a constitutional conservative with a conservative judicial philosophy. The campaign site highlights endorsements from the Montana Chamber of Commerce and the Montana Stockgrowers Association, suggesting a pro-business orientation. No detailed tax agenda is publicly stated in the sources reviewed.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Dan Wilson has not publicly laid out a direct policy position on abortion access in the available candidate questionnaire materials. His public comments emphasize that the issue has been decided by Montana Supreme Court precedent and that judges should apply the law rather than personal views.

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Climate & Energy

Dan Wilson presents himself as a constitutional conservative who says judges should apply the law as written and not substitute personal views for the will of the people. He also criticized the Montana Supreme Court’s climate ruling in Held as judicial overreach, which points to a conservative approach toward climate regulation and the courts’ role. ([mtpr.org](https://www.mtpr.org/montana-news/2024-05-15/q-a-dan-wilson-candidate-for-montana-supreme-court-seat-3?_amp=true))

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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