Prediction Edge

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

AZ-09 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Dani Sterbinsky

    Will Democratic win the House race for AZ-09?

    Selected market

    Final: No

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 9:21 AM UTC

Democrat
Dani Sterbinsky

Dani Sterbinsky

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Arizona

Saved odds — AZ-09 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

2.8%chance to win

$5.7KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Navy veteran (Operations Specialist)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyMainstream Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationArizona

Show more

BackgroundU.S. Navy veteran (Operations Specialist)

EducationUniversity of Hawaii — Bachelor's degree (social sciences)

Notable personal detailsDanielle "Dani" Sterbinsky is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Arizona’s 9th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. She is a U.S. Navy veteran who served as an Operations Specialist, including aboard the USS Bainbridge in the Mediterranean. She has a bachelor’s degree in social sciences from the University of Hawaii and a master’s degree in industrial-organizational psychology from Grand Canyon University, and she has worked as a human resources professional.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The campaign emphasizes affordability, expanded public investment, and support for working families and small businesses. The platform calls for a public option in healthcare, fully funded public schools, childcare affordability, rental assistance, workforce training, and rural infrastructure investment.

Healthcare

Dani Sterbinsky supports expanding access to healthcare through lower prescription drug costs, expanded mental health and preventive care, stronger rural clinics and telehealth access, and a public option. The campaign frames healthcare as something that should not be a financial gamble and emphasizes reducing costs and improving access to care.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports a secure border and an immigration system that is orderly, fair, and humane. The available public statement is broad and does not specify concrete positions on asylum, deportations, border wall expansion, or legal immigration pathways.

Climate & Energy

Dani Sterbinsky’s campaign site includes broad support for protecting the environment and protecting water resources that support families and agriculture. The available public messaging does not lay out a detailed climate or energy policy, and it does not clearly commit to a specific emissions, fossil fuel, or clean-energy agenda.

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$354.4K
$265.8K
$177.2K
$88.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$354.4K
$25.7K
$332.3K
$17.5K

Source: FEC

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • News
  • Polls
  • Endorsements