Prediction Edge

Overview

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age48 years old (Aug 27, 1977)

GenderMale

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LocationIllinois

BackgroundPolitician

EducationHarvard University (BA)

Notable personal detailsDaniel Ke1lme1n Biss is an American politician and former mathematician who has served as mayor of Evanston, Illinois since May 10, 2021. He previously represented Chicago-area districts in the Illinois House of Representatives (201182013) and Illinois Senate (201382019). Before elected office, he was an assistant professor of mathematics at the University of Chicago. He ran for the U.S. House in Illinois's 9th congressional district in the 2026 cycle.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports replacing Illinois' flat income tax with a graduated (progressive) income tax, advocates additional taxes on high-end financial transactions and taxing wealthier retirement income while pursuing property-tax reform to reduce burdens on middle- and working-class homeowners.

Healthcare

Supports a national single-payer health system such as Medicare for All and advocates for universal coverage. Campaign materials and past statements commit to pursuing single-payer policies and protecting coverage for people with pre-existing conditions.

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Immigration & Border

Supports limits on federal immigration enforcement at the local/state level and policies to protect immigrant communities; has condemned ICE/Border Patrol raids in Evanston and directed local actions to investigate and shield residents. Has previously co‑sponsored state legislation (the TRUST Act) to restrict local cooperation with federal immigration enforcement and to create protected spaces for immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports legal access to abortion and has a record of championing and bolstering abortion rights in Illinois; positions and endorsements describe him as a pro-choice, progressive defender of reproductive access.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive federal action to confront the climate crisis, including investing in clean energy, holding polluters accountable, and advancing building- and community-level measures to reduce emissions. Emphasizes transitioning to clean energy while prioritizing jobs, affordability, and public health.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports broad, progressive gun-safety measures including repeal of the Second Amendment, universal background checks, a federal assault-weapons ban and limits on high-capacity magazines, expanded red-flag laws, safe-storage requirements, and ending legal immunity for the gun industry.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 11, 2026

Daniel Biss won the Democratic primary for Illinois’s 9th Congressional District and is now the party’s nominee for the general election. Reports say he beat Kat Abughazaleh and Laura Fine in a closely watched race that drew heavy outside spending, including AIPAC-related money aimed at influencing the contest. Later coverage put his margin at about 3 percentage points. He will face Republican John Elleson in November.

fec.gov+49

Polls

IL-09 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
23.5%
15.4%
13.3%
7.1%
Daniel Biss
D. Biss
Kat Abughazaleh
K. Abughazaleh
Laura Fine
L. Fine
Mike Simmons
M. Simmons
Bushra Amiwala
B. Amiwala
Phil Andrew
P. Andrew
Hoan Huynh
H. Huynh
Sam Polan
S. Polan
Nick Pyati
N. Pyati
Date (Start - End)SpreadBissAbughazalehFineSimmonsAmiwalaAndrewHuynhPolanPyati
Polling Average
Biss+8.1
23.5%15.4%13.3%7.1%4.5%3.5%2.8%0.4%0.0%
Public Policy PollingMar 9 - 10
Biss+4.0
24.0%20.0%14.0%10.0%6.0%7.0%1.0%0.0%0.0%
Public Policy PollingFeb 20 - 21
Biss+7.0
24.0%17.0%16.0%6.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
MoliticoFeb 15 - 20
Biss+17.1
31.0%12.9%13.9%8.2%6.5%3.7%1.6%0.1%
Impact ResearchFeb 5 - 10
Biss+13.0
31.0%18.0%18.0%7.0%4.0%7.0%3.0%
GBAOJan 26 - 29
Biss+0.0
21.0%14.0%21.0%7.0%4.0%4.0%2.0%
GBAONov 9 - 15
Biss+6.0
20.0%14.0%13.0%10.0%5.0%1.0%4.0%
Impact ResearchNov 4 - 9
Biss+14.0
31.0%17.0%10.0%6.0%3.0%3.0%4.0%
Data for ProgressOct 29 - Nov 3
Abughazaleh+0.0
18.0%18.0%10.0%6.0%6.0%1.0%5.0%1.0%
MDW CommunicationsOct 14 - 16
Biss+5.0
18.0%13.0%9.0%
MDW CommunicationsJun 12 - 15
Biss+7.0
17.0%10.0%8.0%4.0%2.0%0.0%3.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.8M
$2.1M
$1.4M
$707.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.8M
$267.2K
$2.6M
$170.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements