Prediction Edge
Republican
Daniel Cameron

Overview

Current roleAttorney General

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age40 years old (Nov 22, 1985)

GenderMale

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LocationKentucky

BackgroundAttorney

EducationUniversity of Louisville School of Law (J.D., 2011)

Notable personal detailsDaniel Jay Cameron is an American attorney and Republican politician from Kentucky. He served as the 51st Attorney General of Kentucky and was the Republican nominee for governor of Kentucky in 2023. He has also worked as CEO of the 1792 Exchange and is a candidate for U.S. Senate in Kentucky in the 2026 election cycle.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports major tax cuts including eliminating Kentucky’s individual income tax and shifting toward a consumption-based tax structure; advocates keeping more money with taxpayers and using spending restraint to enable tax reductions.

Healthcare

Supports reinstating work requirements for some able-bodied Medicaid recipients and favors policies that limit government-funded health interventions for minors (e.g., restricting gender-affirming care). Emphasizes reducing dependency on government programs and prioritizing market/individual responsibility approaches within healthcare policy.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger enforcement of federal immigration laws, opposes sanctuary cities and prefers detaining and returning people who entered the country illegally rather than releasing them. Advocates working with law enforcement and other states to pressure the federal government to secure the southern border and limit policies he views as incentivizing unlawful entry.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Daniel Cameron has defended and sought to uphold Kentucky’s Human Life Protection Act and other state abortion restrictions that prohibit most abortions. As attorney general he filed briefs to reinstate and defend near-total abortion bans and has praised court rulings reinstating those bans. He has at times said he would sign a legislative bill adding rape and incest exceptions if the legislature passed one, but his record shows active defense of strict abortion limits in Kentucky law.

Climate & Energy

Supports an "all-of-the-above" / energy-independence approach that emphasizes preserving Kentucky’s fossil-fuel industries (especially coal) while opposing what he calls aggressive national climate mandates and certain federal regulatory actions. Has litigated with other Republican attorneys general against EPA and federal rules aimed at reducing emissions and has pushed back on corporate/net-zero plans and out-of-state wind and solar procurement.

Public Safety & Guns

Daniel Cameron supports strong Second Amendment protections, opposes expansions of federal gun regulations led by the Biden administration, and emphasizes backing law enforcement and public safety. His campaign lists “Protect Our 2nd Amendment Rights” among priorities and he has joined multi-state legal actions challenging ATF rule changes.

Latest Insights

Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?

23d

Barr’s Kentucky GOP Senate nomination win is now confirmed publicly, and Cameron is pinned near zero; that leaves little residual uncertainty for this market and makes further repricing unlikely.

0%4%

Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?

24d

Donald Trump backed Daniel Cameron, who is currently at 3.8% in "Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?"

4%

Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?

26d

Daniel Cameron is now backed by Donald Trump in the Kentucky Republican Senate nominee race, and his odds are at 3%.

3%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

Daniel Cameron lost the Kentucky Republican Senate primary to Rep. Andy Barr, who won the nomination to replace retiring Sen. Mitch McConnell. Early and final results showed Barr ahead by a wide margin, with Cameron trailing in second place. Before the vote, Cameron said his campaign had built a broad GOP coalition and expected to win, but the results went the other way.

fec.gov+47

Polls

Kentucky Republican Senate nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
32.4%
24.9%
9.3%
Daniel Cameron
D. Cameron
Andy Barr
A. Barr
Nate Morris
N. Morris
Kelly Craft
K. Craft
Date (Start - End)SpreadCameronBarrMorrisCraft
Polling Average
Cameron+7.5
32.4%24.9%9.3%4.5%
UpONE InsightsMay 9 - 11
Barr+19.0
27.0%46.0%8.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesMay 3 - 5
Barr+19.0
24.0%43.0%9.0%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Barr+7.1
21.1%28.2%15.4%
Emerson CollegeMar 29 - 31
Barr+7.0
21.0%28.0%15.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesMar 10 - 12
Cameron+2.0
31.0%29.0%13.0%
Quantus InsightsFeb 4 - 4
Barr+0.9
27.4%28.3%16.6%
Emerson CollegeJan 31 - Feb 2
Barr+3.0
20.7%23.7%14.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesJan 27 - 29
Cameron+8.0
29.0%21.0%18.0%
OnMessageJan 5 - 8
Cameron+15.0
40.0%25.0%13.0%
UpONE InsightsOct 13 - 14
Cameron+17.0
42.0%25.0%10.0%
co/efficientOct 8 - 10
Cameron+17.0
39.0%22.0%8.0%
Public Opinion StrategiesSep 2 - 4
Cameron+8.0
37.0%29.0%8.0%
Fabrizio, Lee & AssociatesAug 5 - 7
Cameron+23.0
40.0%17.0%5.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesApr 13 - 15
Cameron+26.0
44.0%18.0%2.0%
co/efficientFeb 25 - 26
Cameron+21.3
38.9%17.6%2.5%
co/efficientDec 2 - 3
Cameron+25.0
37.0%12.0%1.0%6.0%
co/efficientDec 2 - 3
Cameron+22.0
32.0%10.0%0.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.2M
$1.6M
$1.1M
$545.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$2.2M
$532.1K
$1.7M
$103.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements