Prediction Edge
Republican
Daniel Keenan

Daniel Keenan

Overview

Current roleConstruction contractor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

LocationArizona

BackgroundConstruction contractor

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EducationBasha High School (graduated 2005)

Notable personal detailsDaniel Keenan is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Arizona’s 5th Congressional District. He is a businessman and founder of DK Builders, a residential construction company based in the East Valley. Keenan has appeared in Arizona PBS election coverage as a CD5 Republican candidate and has an authorized federal committee, Daniel Keenan for Congress.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lowering costs for families and businesses through pro-growth, pro-business tax policies and regulatory reductions. Backs targeted tax relief such as exemptions for overtime and tipped wages and expansion of Opportunity Zones, and advocates smaller government and spending restraint. Pledges alignment with House Freedom Caucus priorities favoring limited government and reduced fiscal burden.

Healthcare

The campaign platform highlights reforming the VA and expanding veterans' ability to see private doctors when the VA cannot meet needs but does not state a broad position on Medicare, Medicaid, the ACA, or single-payer proposals. Public materials emphasize veterans' healthcare choice and VA accountability without outlining general health‑care system reforms.

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Immigration & Border

Supports enforcement-first immigration policies including ending birthright citizenship, mandating nationwide E‑Verify, finishing the border wall where needed, closing asylum/parole loopholes, prioritizing deportation of criminal unauthorized immigrants, and giving Border Patrol and ICE expanded tools and manpower.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports protecting life and stopping taxpayer-funded abortions while promoting adoption and resources for mothers and babies, indicating a preference for restrictions on public funding for abortion.

Climate & Energy

Supports expanding domestic energy production including oil, gas, and nuclear to lower utility bills and reduce dependence on foreign countries, and emphasizes advancing reliable, affordable energy rather than aggressive emissions targets. Campaign messaging frames energy policy as part of an 'America First' agenda focused on economic growth and lower cost of living.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports defending the Second Amendment and signals a pro-gun-rights, law-and-order approach while aligning with conservative caucuses. Emphasizes restoring law and order and defending constitutional freedoms as part of his priorities. No detailed policy proposals on specific gun laws (e.g., red flag laws, universal background checks, or constitutional carry) were found on campaign pages reviewed.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Daniel Keenan is in the news because he is still actively challenging Mark Lamb for the Republican nomination in Arizona's 5th Congressional District. The race remains contested, and Keenan has been attacking Lamb's record as Lamb faces scrutiny over allegations and calls to drop out. The reporting suggests Keenan is benefiting from the turmoil around his opponent, but it does not give any new details about Keenan himself.

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Polls

AZ-05 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
80%60%40%20%0%
13.6%
55.8%
Daniel Keenan
D. Keenan
Mark Lamb
M. Lamb
Travis Grantham
T. Grantham
Date (Start - End)SpreadKeenanLambGrantham
Polling Average
Lamb+42.1
13.6%55.8%2.5%
Pulse Decision SicenceJun 29 - Jul 1
Lamb+34.0
27.0%61.0%
Remington Research GroupJun 22 - 24
Keenan+14.0
46.0%32.0%
Victory InsightsDec 2 - 5
Lamb+62.0
1.5%63.5%1.4%
Victory InsightsDec 2 - 5
Lamb+62.9
6.3%69.2%
NextGen PollingOct 10 - 12
Lamb+54.0
0.0%54.0%3.0%
NextGen PollingJun 4 - 4
Lamb+54.0
1.0%55.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

AZ-05 Republican nominee?

Endorsers of Daniel Keenan for AZ-05 Republican nominee?

Maricopa County Republican Party

Political organization

Maricopa County Republican Party backed Daniel Keenan's campaign for Arizona's 5th Congressional District.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.9M
$1.4M
$925.7K
$462.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.9M
$46.8K
$1.8M
$95.0K

Source: FEC