Prediction Edge
Republican
Danielle Bethell

Danielle Bethell

Republican candidate for Governor in Oregon

Live Odds — Oregon Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$230.7KMAY 26, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCommissioner

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationOregon

BackgroundMarion County Commissioner

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EducationOregon State University (graduate)

Notable personal detailsDanielle Bethell is a Marion County commissioner in Oregon and a Republican candidate for Oregon governor in 2026. She was elected to the Marion County Board of Commissioners in November 2020 and began serving in January 2021, and has held leadership roles with the Association of Oregon Counties, including president in 2023. Bethell previously served as executive director of the Keizer Chamber of Commerce and has been involved in local education governance as a Salem-Keizer Public Schools board director. She is a graduate of Oregon State University.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate emphasizes protecting taxpayers, balancing budgets without raising taxes, reducing regulation to help small businesses, and opposing statewide “one-size-fits-all” policies. Her campaign and official materials highlight fiscal restraint and policies intended to lower burdens on businesses and families.

Healthcare

Supports reducing central state authority over public and mental health, shifting control to counties and prioritizing local behavioral-health responses; favors expanding treatment access while criticizing statewide policies like Measure 110. Emphasizes restoring government efficiency and lowering costs rather than expanding large, state-led health programs.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Danielle Bethell has participated in pro-life events and as a Marion County commissioner supported funding for a faith-based pregnancy clinic that does not provide abortions. Her public remarks and actions have emphasized expanding pregnancy support services rather than supporting abortion access. These positions align with a pro-restriction, pro-pregnancy-support stance on reproductive issues.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Danielle Bethell is running for the Republican nomination for Oregon governor and is now in the final stretch before the May 19 primary. Recent coverage has focused on her campaign positions on affordability, taxes, abortion, immigration, education, and election policy, along with her participation in GOP debates. She has also drawn attention because of Oregon Government Ethics Commission investigations into two incidents involving her children.

co.marion.or.us+48

Latest Polls

Oregon Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Danielle Bethell currently averages 1.9%, ranking 5th in this race, 3.0 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 1.9%Position: 5thMargin: -3.0 ptsLatest poll: 1.7% (May 7 - 13)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through May 7 - 13.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
38.7%
27.6%
17.6%
Danielle Bethell
D. Bethell
Christine Drazan
C. Drazan
Ed Diehl
E. Diehl
Chris Dudley
C. Dudley
David Medina
D. Medina
Date (Start - End)SpreadBethellDrazanDiehlDudleyMedina
Polling Average
Drazan+36.9
1.9%38.7%27.6%17.6%4.8%
Predict OregonMay 7 - 13
Drazan+38.8
1.7%40.5%37.6%17.2%2.8%
Nelson ResearchApr 14 - 17
Drazan+34.9
2.0%36.9%17.6%18.1%6.9%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising