Prediction Edge
Democrat
Danielle Welch

Danielle Welch

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York

Live Odds — NY-03 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

4%chance to win

$2.8KJUN 27, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePublic defender

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationNew York

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BackgroundPublic defender

Notable personal detailsDanielle Welch is a Democratic candidate who ran for the U.S. House in New York's 3rd Congressional District in 2026. She is a public defender and filed with the Federal Election Commission an authorized principal campaign committee, Danielle Welch for NY. In the 2026 Democratic primary for NY-03, she was defeated by incumbent Tom Suozzi.

SourcesShow
fec.govdocquery.fec.goven.wikipedia.orgbluevoterguide.orgqueens.gopusvotefoundation.orgapi.open.fec.govefoservices.fec.govsteubencountyny.govwaynecountyny.govelections.ny.govwebforms.fec.govdelcoweb2025-drddhdcta9epgud6.eastus-01.azurewebsites.netopencampaign.comcivicdocket.combaselight.appthecandidate.comreddit.comcdn.ballotpedia.orgvotewelch.combencodems.orgprogressivecongress.netpolitics1.comelectwelch.comwelch.senate.govzakforcongress.comqns.comresults.elections.ny.govarxiv.orgeap.ethics.la.govstatic1.squarespace.comsurj.orggoogle.comliherald.compredictionedge.cominstagram.comfacebook.comx.comballotready.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orgvotesmart.orghistory.house.govgovinfo.govclerk.house.govsenate.govcongress.gov

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports progressive economic policies including universal healthcare and childcare, expanded Social Security, a living wage, stronger union protections, and implementation of a tax on billionaires. Positions emphasize higher taxation on the ultra-wealthy and expanded government spending for social programs.

Healthcare

Supports universal healthcare and lists it as a core policy priority on her campaign issues page, indicating advocacy for expansive government-provided coverage.

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Immigration & Border

Supports replacing the current U.S. immigration system with a ‘‘simple, safe, and inclusive’’ policy, advocates abolishing ICE, and emphasizes protecting asylum access and human dignity while opposing aggressive federal enforcement tactics.

Climate & Energy

Supports treating climate change as a crisis, prioritizing clean air and water, protecting natural resources, and prioritizing a transition to renewable energy and sustainable infrastructure while addressing local environmental harms.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Danielle Welch is in the news because she is part of a contested Democratic primary in New York's 4th Congressional District ahead of the 2026 House election. The race is one of several competitive Democratic primaries in New York, and it comes as incumbent Rep. Laura Gillen is defending the seat. The reporting mainly highlights the primary contest and the broader election setup, but gives few specific details about Welch herself.

fec.gov+45
Articles
WWTOP2 months ago

AP Decision Notes: What to expect in New York’s state primary

Neutral

Endorsements

3
NY-03 Democratic nominee?
PVProgressive Voter NetworkSUShowing Up for Racial JusticeNYNew York Progressive Action Network

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$50.0K
$37.5K
$25.0K
$12.5K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$50.0K
$0.00
$50.0K
$2.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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