Prediction Edge
Democrat
Darializa Avila Chevalier

Darializa Avila Chevalier

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Darializa Avila Chevalier is trading at 98% to win the NY-13 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCommunity organizer

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyDemocratic Socialist

LocationNew York

BackgroundCommunity organizer

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EducationColumbia University (BA)

Notable personal detailsDarializa Avila Chevalier is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New York’s 13th Congressional District (2026 cycle). She has been described as a community organizer and democratic socialist, and has been active in New York City political organizing. She has studied at Columbia University and has been affiliated with graduate study at the City University of New York.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and major public-health expansion to achieve universal coverage. Advocates for government-led solutions rather than market-based reforms.

Immigration & Border

The candidate opposes aggressive immigration enforcement and has advocated for release of individuals detained by federal immigration authorities; her work and scholarship focus on impacts of deportation and immigrant detention on Black and Latino communities. She has organized against family separation and supported community-based responses to immigrant detention, indicating support for protecting asylum and limiting harsh enforcement measures while emphasizing humanitarian reforms.

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Public Safety & Guns

Supports police reform and opposes militarized policing while working in public defense; has organized against mass incarceration and for community-based safety. No explicit, documented position on specific gun policies (e.g., assault weapons bans, universal background checks, red flag laws) was found in campaign materials or public statements reviewed.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Darializa Avila Chevalier recently won the Democratic primary in New York’s 13th Congressional District, defeating incumbent Adriano Espaillat. The result has drawn attention because it reflects a broader leftward shift in New York City Democratic politics and has fueled debate inside the party over its direction. Some coverage also notes controversy over her past social media posts and criticism from Democratic strategist James Carville, while supporters say her affordability-focused message helped her win.

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Latest Polls

NY-13 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Darializa Avila Chevalier currently averages 31.3%, ranking second in this race, 6.0 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 31.3%Position: secondMargin: -6.0 ptsLatest poll: 27.0% (Jun 9 - 11)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through Jun 9 - 11.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
31.3%
37.3%
Darializa Avila Chevalier
D. Chevalier
Adriano Espaillat
A. Espaillat
Oscar Romero
O. Romero
Theo Chino-Tavarez
T. Chino-Tavarez
Date (Start - End)SpreadChevalierEspaillatRomeroChino-Tavarez
Polling Average
Espaillat+6.0
31.3%37.3%3.0%2.0%
Mercury Public AffairsJun 9 - 11
Espaillat+8.0
27.0%35.0%
Data for ProgressJun 3 - 9
Chevalier+4.0
39.0%35.0%2.0%2.0%
Upswing ResearchMar 25 - 30
Espaillat+14.0
28.0%42.0%4.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

10
NY-13 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.4M
$1.0M
$677.3K
$338.7K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$1.4M
$222.1K
$1.1M
$62.9K

Source: FEC