Mercury Public Affairs
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Saved Kalshi settlement results
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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
NY-13 House winner?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 3:09 AM UTC
Democrat
Darializa Avila Chevalier
Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York
$6.8K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — NY-13 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
97.8%chance to win
$6.8KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleCommunity organizer
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyDemocratic Socialist
LocationNew York
BackgroundCommunity organizer
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EducationColumbia University (BA)
Notable personal detailsDarializa Avila Chevalier is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New York’s 13th Congressional District (2026 cycle). She has been described as a community organizer and democratic socialist, and has been active in New York City political organizing. She has studied at Columbia University and has been affiliated with graduate study at the City University of New York.
SourcesShowHide
fec.goven.wikipedia.orgnewyork.news12.comdarializaforcongress.comvote.nycdocquery.fec.govthemidtermproject.orgindivisible.orgtheguardian.comoppintell.comcivoren.compoliticalemails.orgsemafor.comafightworthhaving.comvoicenews.appcapitolhillaccess.comreddit.comnorwoodnews.orgsalon.comyahoo.comjusticedemocrats.comprospect.orgamny.comsadrjohnjay.comarchive.phjacobin.comsocialists.nycpolitics1.comuptowncommunitydems.comthegreenpapers.comtaxfoundation.orgacademic.oup.comrevistaenvio.orgsciencedirect.comrsisinternational.orgunitedforalice.orgenglish.elpais.comcityandstateny.comnytimes.comaxios.comregion9a.uaw.orginstagram.compolitico.comabc7ny.comthecityreporter.nycthehill.comdemocraticleft.dsausa.orgjta.orgcnn.comthenation.comft.comnybooks.comfirstthings.comnypost.comabcnews.comtruthout.orgen.ilsole24ore.comballotready.orgdisclosures-clerk.house.govgovinfo.govrepublicanleader.senate.govjeffries.house.govcongress.govdemocraticleader.house.govnga.orgvotesmart.org
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Healthcare
Supports Medicare for All and major public-health expansion to achieve universal coverage. Advocates for government-led solutions rather than market-based reforms.
Immigration & Border
The candidate opposes aggressive immigration enforcement and has advocated for release of individuals detained by federal immigration authorities; her work and scholarship focus on impacts of deportation and immigrant detention on Black and Latino communities. She has organized against family separation and supported community-based responses to immigrant detention, indicating support for protecting asylum and limiting harsh enforcement measures while emphasizing humanitarian reforms.
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Public Safety & Guns
Supports police reform and opposes militarized policing while working in public defense; has organized against mass incarceration and for community-based safety. No explicit, documented position on specific gun policies (e.g., assault weapons bans, universal background checks, red flag laws) was found in campaign materials or public statements reviewed.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026
Darializa Avila Chevalier recently won the Democratic primary in New York’s 13th Congressional District, defeating incumbent Adriano Espaillat. The result has drawn attention because it reflects a broader leftward shift in New York City Democratic politics and has fueled debate inside the party over its direction. Some coverage also notes controversy over her past social media posts and criticism from Democratic strategist James Carville, while supporters say her affordability-focused message helped her win.
fec.gov+65
Articles
SLSalt Lake City Deseret News4 months ago
Gains by Democratic socialists provide some reason for worry
Positive
BNBaltimore News4 months ago
NYC progressive's primary win sends established Democrats searching for path forward
Positive
BNBreitbart News Network4 months ago
Democrats Are 'Well on Their Way' to Blowing 2028 Election After Election of Democratic Socialists in NYC
Positive
SSlate4 months ago
Republicans Have a New Supervillain in the Works
Positive
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.4M
$1.0M
$677.3K
$338.7K
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$1.4M
$222.1K
$1.1M
$62.9K
Source: FEC
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- Endorsements