Prediction Edge

Live Odds — Washington Supreme Court Position 5 winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

15%chance to win

$1.00NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleJudge

Political ideologyNonpartisan

GenderMale

LocationWashington

BackgroundMunicipal court judge

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EducationUniversity of Puget Sound — B.A., Public Administration (1980)

Notable personal detailsDavid Allan “Dave” Larson is a Washington attorney and retired municipal court judge. He served as a judge on the Federal Way Municipal Court from 2008 to 2025 and was presiding judge beginning in 2009. Before joining the bench, he worked as a civil trial lawyer for more than two decades and has also served in local education governance as a Federal Way School Board member/president.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Dave Larson’s public statements emphasize judicial restraint, respect for the Constitution, and leaving policy decisions to the elected branches. He has criticized the Supreme Court’s handling of the McCleary education-funding case as disruptive and pointed to concerns about a possible $28 billion tax increase, which suggests a cautious, tax-increase-skeptical posture rather than support for expanding taxes or spending.

Public Safety & Guns

Dave Larson emphasizes protecting the right to bear arms as one of the individual rights a justice should defend. He also describes his campaign as seeking support from law enforcement and presents himself as a judge who applies the law as written rather than imposing policy preferences.

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