Prediction Edge

Saved Kalshi settlement results

These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.

Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

Washington Supreme Court Position 5 winner?

No verified final result is available for the selected contract.

  • Dave Larson

    Will Dave Larson win the 2026 Washington Supreme Court Justice Position 5 election?

    Selected market

    Settlement pending

Saved odds — Washington Supreme Court Position 5 winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

15%chance to win

$1.00NOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleJudge

Political ideologyNonpartisan

GenderMale

LocationWashington

BackgroundMunicipal court judge

Show more

EducationUniversity of Puget Sound — B.A., Public Administration (1980)

Notable personal detailsDavid Allan “Dave” Larson is a Washington attorney and retired municipal court judge. He served as a judge on the Federal Way Municipal Court from 2008 to 2025 and was presiding judge beginning in 2009. Before joining the bench, he worked as a civil trial lawyer for more than two decades and has also served in local education governance as a Federal Way School Board member/president.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Dave Larson’s public statements emphasize judicial restraint, respect for the Constitution, and leaving policy decisions to the elected branches. He has criticized the Supreme Court’s handling of the McCleary education-funding case as disruptive and pointed to concerns about a possible $28 billion tax increase, which suggests a cautious, tax-increase-skeptical posture rather than support for expanding taxes or spending.

Public Safety & Guns

Dave Larson emphasizes protecting the right to bear arms as one of the individual rights a justice should defend. He also describes his campaign as seeking support from law enforcement and presents himself as a judge who applies the law as written rather than imposing policy preferences.

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • News
  • Polls
  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising