Prediction Edge
High Impact23d
David Brock Smith

David Brock Smith

0%90%

Brock Smith’s nominee market has pushed to 96% on primary day, leaving Jo Rae Perkins at 10% and the rest of the field near odds-on longshots. Traders should treat the race as heavily consolidated around Brock Smith unless new vote-counting or turnout data changes the picture.

Republican
David Brock Smith

Overview

Current roleState Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationOregon

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BackgroundPolitician

EducationSouthwestern Oregon Community College (AA)

Notable personal detailsDavid Brock Smith is a Republican politician from Port Orford, Oregon, serving in the Oregon State Senate (District 1) since January 2023 after previously serving in the Oregon House of Representatives (2017–2023). He has held local and county roles including Port Orford City Council president, Curry County commissioner (including chair and vice chair), and other regional public-service and association posts. In 2026 he ran for U.S. Senate in Oregon and won the Republican primary, becoming the party’s nominee to face incumbent Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley in the November general election.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate has supported tax relief for small forestland owners and opposed legislation he said would increase costs on families; his recent campaign messaging emphasizes affordability and lowering costs rather than proposing new tax increases. His legislative actions include backing measures that expand estate/exemption thresholds and tax relief for natural-resource businesses.

Healthcare

Supports improving and expanding provider networks and affordable public and mental health services for residents, and has worked on legislation to hold drug companies accountable to reduce pharmaceutical prices.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border enforcement and coordination with federal immigration authorities; has introduced measures to flag ICE when people arrested for fentanyl manufacture or distribution may be in the country unlawfully and has expressed support for state efforts to secure portions of the southern border. Emphasizes deporting illegal drug dealers as a tool to reduce fentanyl-related harm in Oregon.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

David Brock Smith has opposed Democratic bills that would expand abortion protections (including measures to remove parental consent and to enshrine abortion protections in the state constitution) and participated with Republicans in walkouts to block such legislation. He has publicly supported legislation to require care for infants born alive during failed abortions. His record shows support for restrictions on abortion access rather than unrestricted access.

Climate & Energy

David Brock Smith has publicly criticized recent Oregon climate legislation and warned that climate bills will raise costs for families; he has served as vice-chair of the Senate Energy and Environment Committee while expressing skepticism about human-driven climate policy. His statements and committee role indicate opposition to aggressive regulatory approaches and support for less interventionist, market-oriented energy policy.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate opposes recent proposed gun-control legislation in Oregon and has acted with fellow Republican senators to block or resist measures expanding firearm regulation, while framing those actions as protecting constituents and public safety. He formally testified in opposition to at least one state gun-safety bill on behalf of the Senate Republican Caucus.

Latest Insights

Oregon Republican Senate nominee?

23dHigh Impact

Brock Smith’s nominee market has pushed to 96% on primary day, leaving Jo Rae Perkins at 10% and the rest of the field near odds-on longshots. Traders should treat the race as heavily consolidated around Brock Smith unless new vote-counting or turnout data changes the picture.

90%0%

Oregon Republican Senate nominee?

20d

AP called David Brock Smith the Republican nominee for Oregon Senate, confirming the market’s dominant favorite and shifting attention to the November general election matchup with Jeff Merkley.

98%

Oregon Republican Senate nominee?

23d

Brock Smith’s nominee market is now at 93%, extending a one-day surge as Oregon primary reporting continues to show him as the clear front-runner. Traders should treat the contract as heavily consolidated around Brock Smith unless later vote updates materially narrow the gap.

93%87%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

David Brock Smith won the Republican primary for Oregon’s U.S. Senate race, moving on to challenge Democratic Sen. Jeff Merkley in November. He had been one of several GOP candidates in the race, and the primary result is the main recent development involving him. The Oregon primary also featured other statewide contests, but Smith’s nomination is the key update.

apnews.com+41

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$48.2K
$36.1K
$24.1K
$12.0K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$48.2K
$32.1K
$16.1K
$1.0K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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  • Endorsements