Prediction Edge
Republican
David Medina

David Medina

Republican candidate for Governor in Oregon

Live Odds — Oregon Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.7%chance to win

$230.7KMAY 26, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSmall business owner

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationOregon

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BackgroundSmall business owner

EducationGeorge Fox University (graduate)

Notable personal detailsDavid Medina is an Oregon-based conservative media figure and small business owner running as a Republican for Governor of Oregon in 2026. He grew up in the Salem/Turner area and later attended college in Portland before graduating from George Fox University. He has been involved in conservative grassroots media and organizing in the Portland area and has been publicly associated with Oregonians for America/OFA Media.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Immigration & Border

The candidate supports strong immigration enforcement, publicly expressing support for ICE and deportations of criminal noncitizens and participating in pro‑ICE actions. Public social posts and reporting indicate a law‑and‑order framing of immigration rather than advocacy for expanded legal pathways or asylum protections.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate has publicly advocated armed action in at least one past message and frames his politics around constitutional/gun-rights rhetoric; his campaign emphasizes restoring constitutional values and a tough stance on public safety. Available public statements indicate support for armed resistance rather than new firearm restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

David Medina is running in Oregon’s Republican gubernatorial race, but he did not qualify for the party’s early debate because he fell short of fundraising and donor thresholds. Recent coverage has also highlighted his candidacy in the context of his involvement in the Jan. 6 Capitol attack, which has drawn criticism. The race is moving through the primary process as Republicans choose their nominee for governor.

medinafororegon.com+52

Latest Polls

Oregon Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

David Medina currently averages 4.8%, ranking 4th in this race, 12.8 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 4.8%Position: 4thMargin: -12.8 ptsLatest poll: 2.8% (May 7 - 13)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through May 7 - 13.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
38.7%
27.6%
17.6%
David Medina
D. Medina
Christine Drazan
C. Drazan
Ed Diehl
E. Diehl
Chris Dudley
C. Dudley
Danielle Bethell
D. Bethell
Date (Start - End)SpreadMedinaDrazanDiehlDudleyBethell
Polling Average
Drazan+33.9
4.8%38.7%27.6%17.6%1.9%
Predict OregonMay 7 - 13
Drazan+37.7
2.8%40.5%37.6%17.2%1.7%
Nelson ResearchApr 14 - 17
Drazan+30.0
6.9%36.9%17.6%18.1%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising