Prediction Edge
Democrat
David Trone

David Trone

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Maryland

Live Odds — MD-06 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1.2%chance to win

$17.2KJUN 30, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age70 years old (Sep 21, 1955)

GenderMale

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LocationMaryland

BackgroundBusinessman

EducationB.A., Furman University (1977)

Notable personal detailsDavid John Trone is an American businessman and Democratic politician who represented Maryland’s 6th Congressional District in the U.S. House from 2019 to 2025. He is a co-founder of Total Wine & More and later entered elective politics in Maryland. Trone earned a B.A. from Furman University (1977) and an M.B.A. from the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School (1985).

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports progressive economic policies including expanded tax credits for working families, investments in infrastructure and clean energy, and measures increasing corporate tax enforcement; has backed legislation that raises revenue for climate and domestic investment while expanding targeted relief for families.

Healthcare

Supports and seeks to build on the Affordable Care Act and protect Medicare and Social Security; prioritizes lowering prescription drug costs and expanding access to mental-health and addiction treatment. Emphasizes bipartisan legislation to reduce drug prices and increase funding for research and prevention programs rather than endorsing single‑payer Medicare for All.

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Immigration & Border

Supports expanded legal pathways to citizenship and protections for asylum-seekers, and opposes abusive or local immigration-enforcement partnerships. Has cosponsored legislation providing a pathway to citizenship for Dreamers and called for terminating local ICE enforcement agreements that he says lead to civil-rights abuses.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports legal abortion access, has voted to codify Roe v. Wade, describes abortion rights as human rights, and has worked to expand local access to reproductive care. He holds pro-choice ratings and participates in pro-choice caucus activities supporting protections for patients and opposing criminalization of pregnancy outcomes.

Climate & Energy

Supports aggressive federal investment in clean energy and emissions reduction policies, backing major legislation such as the Inflation Reduction Act and Build Back Better priorities; frames climate change as an existential threat and prioritizes protecting Maryland waterways and advancing renewable energy and related manufacturing.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports reinstating a federal assault-weapons ban, expanded/universal background checks, red flag laws and other gun-safety measures while rejecting funding from the gun lobby. Voted in favor of the House Assault Weapons Ban (H.R. 1808) in July 2022 and backs additional safety requirements such as mandatory safe storage and trigger-lock policies.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

David Trone lost the Maryland 6th District Democratic primary to incumbent April McClain Delaney. The race drew attention because Trone had poured about $25 million of his own money into the challenge after previously serving three terms in the district and losing a 2024 Senate primary. Reports said the contest centered on issues like affordability, immigration enforcement, and opposition to President Trump, with McClain Delaney leading in polling before the vote.

history.house.gov+62

Latest Polls

MD-06 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

David Trone currently averages 41.6%, ranking second in this race, 0.7 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 41.6%Position: secondMargin: -0.7 ptsLatest poll: 43.0% (Jun 8 - 11)Polls included: 9

Average recalculated from polls through Jun 8 - 11.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
41.6%
42.2%
David Trone
D. Trone
April McClain Delaney
A. Delaney
Date (Start - End)SpreadTroneDelaney
Polling Average
Delaney+0.7
41.6%42.2%
Global Strategy GroupJun 8 - 11
Trone+3.0
43.0%40.0%
Hart Research AssociatesJun 2 - 4
Delaney+15.0
37.0%52.0%
Impact ResearchMay 26 - 28
Trone+2.0
45.0%43.0%
Impact ResearchMay 11 - 14
Trone+2.0
43.0%41.0%
Hart Research AssociatesApr 11 - 14
Delaney+11.0
38.0%49.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteApr 8 - 11
Trone+21.0
47.0%26.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteApr 8 - 11
Trone+21.0
51.0%30.0%
Hart Research AssociatesMar 16 - 21
Delaney+12.0
37.0%49.0%
Hart Research AssociatesDec 9 - 16
Delaney+17.0
33.0%50.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

11
MD-06 Democratic nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$26.2M
$19.7M
$13.1M
$6.6M
$0

2022

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$13.1M
$203.1K
$13.0M
$543.1K

Cycle 2026

$26.2M
$1.5M
$24.7M
$1.4M

Source: FEC