Prediction Edge
Republican
Dena Maldonado

Dena Maldonado

Republican candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-14 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

8%chance to win

$9.6KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFlorist

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderFemale

LocationCalifornia

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BackgroundFlorist

EducationClayton Valley High School

Notable personal detailsDena Marie Maldonado is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in California’s 14th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. She is a small business owner in the floral industry and has also worked as a fashion/swimwear designer. Maldonado has been active with local Republican Party organizations in Alameda County and ran in both the regularly scheduled 2026 primary and the 2026 special election contests connected to the CA-14 vacancy.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports tax relief for working families, greater transparency in government spending, and policies to lower costs by reducing regulations and permitting burdens. Emphasizes protecting taxpayers and lowering expenses rather than expanding taxes or large-scale redistributive programs.

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security through increased Border Patrol staffing and resources, expanded physical border infrastructure where necessary, tougher penalties for trafficking and smuggling, and improved immigration enforcement and deportation processes for those who enter illegally.

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Climate & Energy

Supports policies to lower energy and commuting costs (including suspending or reducing the gas tax) and expanding road capacity, while backing electric vehicle infrastructure investments that keep energy and transportation costs affordable for working families.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports protecting and expanding lawful gun ownership rights, opposes federal bans on commonly owned firearms and magazines, and favors national concealed-carry reciprocity while strengthening constitutional protections for law-abiding gun owners.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Dena Maldonado is in the news as a Republican candidate in California’s 14th Congressional District special election. Recent coverage has focused on her campaign profile and positions on taxes, housing, homelessness, transit funding, immigration, health care, and federal spending. The race is part of the special election to fill the remainder of Eric Swalwell’s term, with the top candidates advancing under California’s election rules.

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Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

David Binder Research
10%8%6%4%2%0%
8%
Dena Maldonado
D. Maldonado
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
David Binder ResearchApr 4, 2026
8.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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  • Fundraising