Prediction Edge
High Impact21d
Diego Morales

Diego Morales

64%2%

Jim Banks and Todd Rokita have withdrawn support from Diego Morales and backed Max Engling instead, while Morales has collapsed to 2.2% in the market. That’s a fresh, concrete convention-race catalyst that could keep the Indiana GOP secretary of state nomination market volatile.

RepublicanIncumbent
Diego Morales

Diego Morales

Overview

Current roleSecretary of State

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationIndiana

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BackgroundPolitician

EducationBachelor’s degree, Indiana University

Notable personal detailsDiego Morales is an American politician serving as Indiana’s 63rd Secretary of State, first elected in 2022. Born in Guatemala, he immigrated to the United States in 1999 and later became a naturalized U.S. citizen. He has worked in state government, including as an aide in the Indiana Secretary of State’s office and as an aide to Mike Pence during Pence’s tenure as governor. Morales has a business background and has served in the U.S. Army and the Indiana National Guard.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger immigration enforcement and tighter controls on noncitizen participation in civic processes; has sought federal immigration/citizenship data to verify voter eligibility and called for congressional and federal action to close perceived loopholes allowing noncitizens to register or vote. Has framed recent federal policy as allowing increased noncitizen entry and emphasizes use of federal verification (SAVE) and state measures to remove or notify registrants whose citizenship cannot be confirmed.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate identifies as pro‑life and has received endorsement from Indiana Right to Life, indicating support for abortion restrictions. Public statements and endorsements align him with restricting abortion access rather than supporting unrestricted access.

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Climate & Energy

As Secretary of State, Diego Morales has acted against asset managers for promoting ESG investing and criticized commitments to net-zero emissions, framing such practices as misleading to investors. His public actions focus on policing ESG-related financial products rather than supporting aggressive climate regulations or major clean-energy programs.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports expanding carrying rights for statewide officials and their staff in the Indiana Statehouse and expresses support for the constitutional right to keep and bear arms. Public statements and office representatives have backed legislation to allow certain statewide elected officials and their employees to carry handguns on Capitol grounds. There is no clear evidence in these sources of support for major new gun restrictions such as assault weapons bans or universal background checks.

Latest Insights

Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?

21dHigh Impact

Jim Banks and Todd Rokita have withdrawn support from Diego Morales and backed Max Engling instead, while Morales has collapsed to 2.2% in the market. That’s a fresh, concrete convention-race catalyst that could keep the Indiana GOP secretary of state nomination market volatile.

2%64%

Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?

21dHigh Impact

Jim Banks and Todd Rokita withdrew support from Diego Morales and backed Max Engling instead, reinforcing the sharp repricing in the Indiana GOP secretary of state race ahead of the June 20 convention.

18%48%

Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?

20d

Diego Morales's odds fell below the previous low of 18%, setting a new floor for "Indiana Republican Secretary of State nominee?"

9%9%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

Diego Morales is in the news mainly because he is running for reelection as Indiana secretary of state in 2026, and Democrat Beau Bayh is already lining up to challenge him. Morales has been campaigning at GOP events and urging Republican turnout ahead of the race. He also recently announced a partnership with Turning Point USA to hold voter registration drives in Indiana high schools and promote student poll worker participation.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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