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California Secretary of State winner?
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Will Donald P. (Don) Wagner win the 2026 California Secretary of State election?
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Final: No
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 7:52 AM UTC
Donald P. Wagner
Republican candidate for Secretary of State in California
California Secretary of State winner?
$680.38
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — California Secretary of State winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
1%chance to win
$680.38NOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleFormer Mayor
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age65 years old (Dec 3, 1960)
GenderMale
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LocationCalifornia
BackgroundAttorney
EducationUniversity of California, Los Angeles (B.A., English)
Notable personal detailsDonald P. (Don) Wagner is an American attorney and Republican politician who serves on the Orange County Board of Supervisors (3rd District). He previously served as a member of the California State Assembly (2010–2016) and as Mayor of Irvine (2016–2019). Wagner earned a B.A. in English from UCLA and a J.D. from the University of California College of the Law, San Francisco (formerly UC Hastings).
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Political Positions
Economy & Taxes
Donald P. Wagner has repeatedly emphasized limited government, wasteful spending reduction, and keeping county budgets balanced without raising taxes on residents. He has also supported measures to make it harder to pass special tax proposals and has opposed tax and fee increases that he says burden Orange County taxpayers.
Healthcare
Donald P. Wagner opposed Proposition 44, a measure that would require community clinics to spend 90% of revenue on patient care. That position aligns with a more market-oriented, anti-mandate approach to healthcare regulation rather than an expansion of government control.
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Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Donald P. Wagner has taken positions favoring abortion restrictions rather than broad abortion access. He sponsored a California constitutional amendment on abortion-related parental notification and was among the Assembly Republicans opposing a bill that would have required pregnancy centers to provide abortion-related information.
Climate & Energy
Donald P. Wagner has emphasized taxpayer-focused and market-choice energy policies rather than aggressive climate regulation. He has backed county participation in the Orange County Power Authority to give ratepayers a choice over green electricity and has supported a temporary suspension of the state gas tax, while also criticizing the county climate action plan as a state-forced and wasteful exercise even as he voted for most of it.
Public Safety & Guns
Donald P. Wagner has publicly questioned gun-related restrictions, including a California bill limiting gun permits tied to individuals, and argued that taxpayer-owned property should not be used to disseminate more firearms through gun shows. His documented positions point toward protecting gun rights while accepting some law-enforcement-oriented public safety framing.
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