Prediction Edge
Democrat
Earnest Clayton

Earnest Clayton

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Visit WebsiteFacebookInstagram

Saved odds — TX-09 Democratic nominee?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

0%chance to win

$29.2KMAR 10, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePublic health professional

PartyDemocratic

LocationTexas

BackgroundPublic health professional

Notable personal detailsEarnest “Clayton” Clayton is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Texas’ 9th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He has described his background as being born and raised in Port Arthur, Texas, and has worked in public health, education (teaching Health Science), and policy-related roles. His campaign emphasizes issues including health access, environmental health, infrastructure, and community safety.

SourcesShow
fec.govdocquery.fec.govearnestclayton.comcommunityimpact.comnewtools.cira.state.tx.usappfiles.harrisvotes.comdeveloper.ballotpedia.orglinkedin.comballotready.orgcatalog.uth.edukw.linkedin.comhoustonhealth.orgnl.linkedin.comec.linkedin.comoutsmartmagazine.comhoustonpublicmedia.orgkhou.comhoustonchronicle.comballotpedia.orgfacebook.comlocalcandidates.orgnytimes.comapps.texastribune.orgen.wikipedia.orgclerk.house.govcotton.senate.govwyden.senate.govtransition.fec.gov

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Earnest Clayton is in the news as a candidate in Texas’s 34th congressional district, which is being watched as a targeted House seat heading into the 2026 midterms. The recent coverage does not report a result for his race, but it shows the district is part of a broader Republican-versus-Democratic battle over House control. More generally, Texas primaries and redistricting fights are shaping the landscape around his campaign.

fec.gov+27
Articles
FNFox News7 months ago

NRCC launches Tax Day ads targeting 28 Democrats over tax cuts vote

Negative
NNNBC News8 months ago

Incumbents are at risk as the first primaries of the midterm elections get underway

Neutral
TMThe Mercury News6 months ago

Tennessee lawmakers pass House map carving up majority-Black district

Neutral
TBThe Boston Globe6 months ago

Alabama and Tennessee move to draw new congressional districts in wake of Supreme Court ruling

Neutral

Latest Polls

TX-09 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/YouGov
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
5%
24%
5%
Earnest Clayton
E. Clayton
Leticia Gutierrez
L. Gutierrez
Terry Virts
T. Virts
Marty Rocha
M. Rocha
Todd Ivey
T. Ivey
Peter Filler
P. Filler
Date (Start - End)SpreadClaytonGutierrezVirtsRochaIveyFiller
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/YouGovFeb 3 - 10
Gutierrez+19.0
5.0%24.0%5.0%2.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Positions
  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising