Prediction Edge
Democrat
Earnest Clayton

Overview

Current rolePublic health professional

PartyDemocratic

GenderMale

LocationTexas

BackgroundPublic health professional

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Notable personal detailsEarnest Clayton is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in Texas' 9th Congressional District (TX-09) in the 2026 election cycle. He has worked in public health in Houston-area communities, including work focused on health equity, and has also taught Health Science. He was born and raised in Port Arthur, Texas, and has described being the first in his family to pursue a terminal degree.

SourcesShow

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 11, 2026

Earnest Clayton is in the news because the Republican runoff in Texas's newly redrawn 9th Congressional District has been decided, with Alex Mealer winning and becoming the GOP nominee. The district was redrawn to favor Republicans and is expected to remain a strong GOP hold in the general election. Earlier coverage noted the start of the 2026 Texas primaries and broader redistricting changes shaping the race.

fec.gov+18

Polls

TX-09 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
5%
24%
5%
Earnest Clayton
E. Clayton
Leticia Gutierrez
L. Gutierrez
Terry Virts
T. Virts
Marty Rocha
M. Rocha
Todd Ivey
T. Ivey
Peter Filler
P. Filler
Date (Start - End)SpreadClaytonGutierrezVirtsRochaIveyFiller
Polling Average
Gutierrez+19.0
5.0%24.0%5.0%2.0%2.0%1.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public AffairsFeb 3 - 10
Gutierrez+19.0
5.0%24.0%5.0%2.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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