Blueprint Polling
50%40%30%20%10%0%
38%
Saved Kalshi settlement results
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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
HI-01 House winner?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 7:00 AM UTC
Democrat
Incumbent
IncumbentEd Case
Incumbent Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Hawaii
$625.80
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — HI-01 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
99%chance to win
$625.80NOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyModerate Democrat
Age74 years old (Sep 27, 1952)
GenderMale
Show moreShow less
LocationHawaii
BackgroundAttorney
EducationHawai‘i Preparatory Academy
Notable personal detailsEdward Espenett "Ed" Case is a Democratic member of the U.S. House representing Hawaii’s 1st Congressional District, serving since 2019, and previously represented Hawaii’s 2nd Congressional District from 2002 to 2007. He previously served in the Hawaii House of Representatives (1994–2002), including as Majority Leader, and has worked as an attorney and legal executive, including as Senior Vice President and Chief Legal Officer of Outrigger Enterprises Group. He was born and raised in Hilo, Hawaii, and attended Hawai‘i Preparatory Academy, Williams College, and UC Law San Francisco (formerly UC Hastings).
SourcesShowHide
case.house.goven.wikipedia.orgedcase.comfec.govrepbio.orgmauinow.comlcv.orgcookpolitical.compoliticalcandidatedirectory.comlegistorm.comballotwire.comwashingtonpost.comballotready.orgcivilbeat.orghawaiireporter.comgrassrootinstitute.orgspectrumlocalnews.comhawaiipublicradio.orghawaiinewsnow.comstaradvertiser.comontheissues.orgjustfacts.votesmart.orgbilltrack50.comcongress.govclerk.house.govtaxnews.ey.comafge.orgpopulationconnectionaction.orgdataforprogress.orgproblemsolverscaucus.house.govhsta.orgfoxnews.comwashingtonexaminer.comcbsnews.comusatoday.comenglish.elpais.comupi.comtimesofindia.indiatimes.combreitbart.comfacebook.comballotpedia.orgindivisiblehawaii.orghistory.house.govnews.ballotpedia.orgde.wikipedia.orgfr.wikipedia.orgcdn.ballotpedia.orgit.wikipedia.orghouse.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Ed Case supports targeted tax and fiscal measures—such as relief for lower- and middle-income families and small businesses, measures to protect Social Security and Medicare funding, and targeted property/anti‑speculation taxes—while emphasizing fiscal responsibility and budget balancing. His agenda stresses using government to address specific needs rather than broad tax-overhaul proposals, producing a centrist/mixed pattern on taxes and economic policy.
Healthcare
Supports protecting and improving the Affordable Care Act, expanding premium tax credits/subsidies to increase access and affordability, lowering prescription drug prices (including supporting Medicare drug price negotiation in the Inflation Reduction Act), and investing in biomedical research and NIH funding.
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Immigration & Border
Supports expanding and strengthening legal immigration pathways while also emphasizing the need to enforce immigration laws and address illegal immigration; favors comprehensive immigration reform that balances humanitarian access with enforcement.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Supports access to abortion and reproductive rights and criticized the Supreme Court’s decision overturning Roe v. Wade as a tragic setback for women’s rights. Has a pro-choice voting record and high ratings from women’s advocacy groups during prior service. Advocates funding for family planning and international reproductive health programs in appropriations votes.
Climate & Energy
Supports international climate cooperation and federal investments to accelerate Hawaii’s transition to renewable energy, endorses major climate-related legislation such as the Inflation Reduction Act, and advocates for enhanced funding for environmental protection and national parks. Voting and ratings records show a consistently pro-environment voting pattern.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports expanded background checks and other firearm safety measures while remaining within mainstream Democratic policy positions on gun regulation. Has cosponsored federal bills to increase background checks and backed measures aimed at restricting certain unsafe firearm practices and increasing oversight of dealers. Voting and sponsorship record shows preference for regulation focused on public safety rather than elimination of gun ownership rights.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 18, 2026
Ed Case won Hawaii’s Democratic primary for the U.S. House, defeating state Sen. Jarrett Keohokalole and advancing to the November general election against Republican Adriel Lam. The result confirms he will continue his reelection campaign after a contested primary. Earlier coverage focused on the primary race and the fact that he faced multiple challengers.
case.house.gov+48
Articles
UNUPI News3 months ago
Hawaii Democrat Rep. Ed Case wins primary
Positive
FNFox News3 months ago
Rep Ed Case wins Hawaii Democratic primary, fends off Keohokalole
Positive
TAThe Associated Press3 months ago
What to expect in Hawaii’s state primary
Neutral
WCWDIV ClickOnDetroit3 months ago
AP Decision Notes: What to expect in Hawaii’s state primary
Neutral
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$1.1M
$820.3K
$546.9K
$273.4K
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$1.1M
$507.5K
$667.4K
$27.8K
Cycle 2024
$700.5K
$316.7K
$891.3K
$37.1K
Cycle 2026
$1.1M
$599.6K
$810.8K
$42.7K
Source: FEC
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- Endorsements