Prediction Edge
Republican
Ed Diehl

Ed Diehl

Republican candidate for Governor in Oregon

Live Odds — Oregon Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$230.7KMAY 26, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationOregon

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BackgroundPolitician

EducationStanford University — B.S., Mechanical Engineering (1987)

Notable personal detailsEd Diehl is a Republican member of the Oregon House of Representatives representing District 17 (took office January 9, 2023). He is an engineer and businessman and was president and co-founder of Concept Systems, Inc. He earned a B.S. and an M.S. in mechanical engineering from Stanford University and has been active on local community and nonprofit boards in the Santiam Canyon area.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lower taxes and opposes new or large tax increases, prioritizing tax relief for families and small businesses while fighting transportation and sales tax hikes. Advocates reducing regulatory burdens on businesses and stopping new taxes to improve affordability and job growth.

Healthcare

Ed Diehl has expressed concerns about healthcare workforce shortages and has worked on legislation to reduce licensure barriers for nurses and behavioral health professionals; he has opposed Oregon Health Authority rulemaking that would restrict Medicaid billing by certain mental health clinicians and has called for investigation of alleged Medicaid fraud. He has not published a clear position supporting or opposing major structural reforms such as Medicare for All or large-scale ACA expansion on his campaign site or legislative materials located in this search.

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Immigration & Border

Opposes state programs that prioritize benefits for non‑citizens and criticizes federal ‘open border’ policies; frames migrant-related state spending as unfair to American citizens. Public statements call for ending programs that he views as prioritizing non‑U.S. citizens over residents of Oregon.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports pro-life policies and believes life begins at conception; favors laws that limit abortion access while promoting adoption and supports measures to restrict late-term abortions and other limits that reflect majority views.

Climate & Energy

Supports removing green-energy mandates that he says raise energy costs, emphasizes reliable low-cost baseload power (hydroelectric and nuclear), and prioritizes forest management and reduced regulation over progressive climate mandates. Advocates for market- and reliability-focused energy policy rather than aggressive emissions regulation or rapid fossil-fuel phaseout.

Public Safety & Guns

Opposes major new gun regulations and ballot/legislative actions that implement Measure 114 or raise age/permit requirements; frames proposed bills as unconstitutional and harmful to law‑abiding gun owners while supporting law enforcement and tougher public safety measures.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Ed Diehl is in the middle of Oregon’s contested Republican governor primary, with the May 19 vote and certified results drawing attention to how he is performing against the other candidates. Recent coverage has focused on his campaign positions on education, affordability, taxes, homelessness, and behavioral health as he competes for the nomination. He also drew notice after a Salem brewery said a Cinco de Mayo campaign event was promoted there without approval, and Diehl apologized after the event was moved.

oregonlegislature.gov+50

Latest Polls

Oregon Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ed Diehl currently averages 24.4%, ranking second in this race, 13.1 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 24.4%Position: secondMargin: -13.1 ptsLatest poll: 37.6% (May 7 - 13)Polls included: 3

Average recalculated from polls through May 7 - 13.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
24.4%
37.5%
16.4%
Ed Diehl
E. Diehl
Christine Drazan
C. Drazan
Chris Dudley
C. Dudley
David Medina
D. Medina
Danielle Bethell
D. Bethell
Date (Start - End)SpreadDiehlDrazanDudleyMedinaBethell
Polling Average
Drazan+13.1
24.4%37.5%16.4%4.8%1.9%
Predict OregonMay 7 - 13
Drazan+2.9
37.6%40.5%17.2%2.8%1.7%
Hoffman Research GroupApr 23 - 24
Drazan+17.0
18.0%35.0%14.0%
Nelson ResearchApr 14 - 17
Drazan+19.3
17.6%36.9%18.1%6.9%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

8
Oregon Republican Governor nominee?

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising