Prediction Edge
Democrat
Effie Phillips-Staley

Effie Phillips-Staley

Overview

Current roleCouncil Member

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationNew York

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BackgroundNonprofit executive

Notable personal detailsEffie Guadalupe Phillips-Staley is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in New York’s 17th Congressional District and an elected trustee in the Village of Tarrytown. She has worked as a nonprofit executive and in institutional advancement roles, including at The Kitchen in New York City and with the Foundation for the Public Schools of the Tarrytowns. Her campaign platform highlights progressive priorities such as Medicare for All, universal childcare, housing construction, and immigration policy changes.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports major tax increases on the ultra-wealthy and corporations, including a proposed wealth tax and closing offshore loopholes, and proposes funding expanded social programs (housing, universal childcare, Medicare for All) through those tax changes. She calls to repeal recent large tax giveaways to the wealthy and to ensure corporations pay a greater share.

Healthcare

Supports enactment of Medicare for All and a comprehensive public healthcare expansion that eliminates deductibles and surprise bills and covers mental health, dental, vision, long-term care, and reproductive care.

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Immigration & Border

Supports abolishing ICE and demilitarizing the U.S. immigration system, treating immigration as a civil administrative matter rather than a paramilitary one. Advocates restoring oversight and accountability (e.g., ending qualified immunity for ICE agents, body cameras, ombudsman) and rebuilding pathways to a more humane, rights-respecting system.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports reproductive freedom and includes reproductive care as part of her healthcare platform. Her campaign site states restoring the right to choose and ensuring reproductive freedom are part of her priorities. These positions indicate support for protecting and maintaining abortion access.

Climate & Energy

Supports a green economic transition with federal investment in clean energy and local resilience, including incentives for community solar and micro-grids, federal grants for zero-emission buses, banning PFAS, and policies that favor green technology over fossil fuels and nuclear. Positions emphasize strong environmental protection and climate resilience as part of her Suburban Progress Agenda.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 3, 2026

Effie Phillips-Staley is one of the leading Democrats in New York’s 17th Congressional District primary, a closely watched race that will decide who challenges Rep. Mike Lawler in the general election. Her campaign has also been drawn into a petition fraud dispute, with Lawler alleging forged signatures on her ballot petitions; Phillips-Staley denies the claims and a court upheld her petition. The district is being closely watched as a toss-up seat, with recent reporting saying the primary could shape the broader 2026 House race.

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Polls

NY-17 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
6%
22%
19.8%
10%
Effie Phillips-Staley
E. Phillips-Staley
Beth Davidson
B. Davidson
Cait Conley
C. Conley
Peter Chatzky
P. Chatzky
Mike Sacks
M. Sacks
John Cappello
J. Cappello
Date (Start - End)SpreadPhillips-StaleyDavidsonConleyChatzkySacksCappello
Polling Average
Davidson+16.0
6.0%22.0%19.8%10.0%2.3%1.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 7 - 12
Conley+23.0
6.0%22.0%29.0%4.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressApr 17 - 24
Davidson+18.0
8.0%26.0%15.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 24 - 26
Davidson+18.0
5.0%23.0%17.0%8.0%1.0%1.0%
Lake Research PartnersJan 27 - Feb 1
Conley+13.0
5.0%17.0%18.0%12.0%2.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$447.2K
$335.4K
$223.6K
$111.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$447.2K
$68.1K
$389.1K
$25.9K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements