Prediction Edge
Democrat
Effie Phillips-Staley

Effie Phillips-Staley

Overview

Current roleCouncil Member

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationNew York

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BackgroundNonprofit executive

EducationUniversity of California, Berkeley (graduated with honors)

Notable personal detailsEffie Guadalupe Phillips-Staley is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New York’s 17th Congressional District and a trustee in the Village of Tarrytown. She has worked as a nonprofit executive, including leadership roles focused on Hispanic advocacy, public education support, arts and culture, and disaster-relief fundraising. She has served in local government in Tarrytown while raising a family in the Hudson Valley.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate supports major tax increases on the ultra-wealthy and corporations, including a proposed wealth tax and closing offshore loopholes, and proposes funding expanded social programs (housing, universal childcare, Medicare for All) through those tax changes. She calls to repeal recent large tax giveaways to the wealthy and to ensure corporations pay a greater share.

Healthcare

Supports enactment of Medicare for All and a comprehensive public healthcare expansion that eliminates deductibles and surprise bills and covers mental health, dental, vision, long-term care, and reproductive care.

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Immigration & Border

Supports abolishing ICE and demilitarizing the U.S. immigration system, treating immigration as a civil administrative matter rather than a paramilitary one. Advocates restoring oversight and accountability (e.g., ending qualified immunity for ICE agents, body cameras, ombudsman) and rebuilding pathways to a more humane, rights-respecting system.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports reproductive freedom and includes reproductive care as part of her healthcare platform. Her campaign site states restoring the right to choose and ensuring reproductive freedom are part of her priorities. These positions indicate support for protecting and maintaining abortion access.

Climate & Energy

Supports a green economic transition with federal investment in clean energy and local resilience, including incentives for community solar and micro-grids, federal grants for zero-emission buses, banning PFAS, and policies that favor green technology over fossil fuels and nuclear. Positions emphasize strong environmental protection and climate resilience as part of her Suburban Progress Agenda.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 14, 2026

Effie Phillips-Staley is one of the leading Democrats in the crowded New York’s 17th Congressional District primary, where she is running to challenge Republican Rep. Mike Lawler in a closely watched swing seat. Her campaign has also been pulled into a petition fraud dispute after Lawler filed a lawsuit alleging forged signatures on her ballot petitions, though her campaign denies the claims and a court upheld her petition. The race remains highly competitive as the June 23 primary approaches and the district draws heavy attention from both parties.

fec.gov+50

Polls

NY-17 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
9%
25.9%
21.7%
10%
Effie Phillips-Staley
E. Phillips-Staley
Cait Conley
C. Conley
Beth Davidson
B. Davidson
Peter Chatzky
P. Chatzky
Mike Sacks
M. Sacks
John Cappello
J. Cappello
Date (Start - End)SpreadPhillips-StaleyConleyDavidsonChatzkySacksCappello
Polling Average
Conley+16.9
9.0%25.9%21.7%10.0%2.6%1.0%
Public Policy PollingJun 15 - 16
Conley+19.0
14.0%33.0%19.0%5.0%1.0%
Tavern ResearchJun 12 - 16
Conley+21.0
13.0%34.0%23.0%1.0%1.0%
Tavern ResearchJun 12 - 16
Conley+23.0
12.0%35.0%22.0%
Global Strategy GroupMay 7 - 12
Conley+23.0
6.0%29.0%22.0%4.0%2.0%
Data for ProgressApr 17 - 24
Davidson+18.0
8.0%15.0%26.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 24 - 26
Davidson+18.0
5.0%17.0%23.0%8.0%1.0%1.0%
Lake Research PartnersJan 27 - Feb 1
Conley+13.0
5.0%18.0%17.0%12.0%2.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

NY-17 Democratic nominee?

Endorsers of Effie Phillips-Staley for NY-17 Democratic nominee?

Jamaal Bowman

Public figure

Jamaal Bowman endorsed Effie Phillips-Staley in her race to become the Democratic nominee in NY-17.

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$695.6K
$521.7K
$347.8K
$173.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$695.6K
$55.3K
$640.4K
$35.6K

Source: FEC