Tulchin Research
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
47%
47%
$34.9K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Live Odds
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Elaine Luria is trading at 79% to win the VA-02 House winner? on prediction markets.
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleFormer U.S. Representative
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyModerate Democrat
Age51 years old (Aug 15, 1975)
GenderFemale
Show moreShow less
LocationVirginia
BackgroundU.S. Navy officer (retired, Commander)
EducationUnited States Naval Academy (B.S.)
Notable personal detailsElaine Goodman Luria is a U.S. Navy veteran and former U.S. Representative who represented Virginia’s 2nd congressional district from 2019 to 2023. She is a graduate of the United States Naval Academy and later earned a master’s degree in engineering management from Old Dominion University. She served about two decades as a naval officer, retiring at the rank of commander, and later entered electoral politics in Virginia.
SourcesShowHide
fec.goven.wikipedia.orgwikidata.orgusna.edugoodparty.orgdocquery.fec.govwebforms.fec.goveqs.fec.govispolitical.comapi.open.fec.govpostman.comprojects.propublica.orgpublicapi.devrepmyblock.orgde.wikipedia.orgelaineforcongress.commoaa.orgvadogwood.comsengov.comjustfacts.votesmart.orgthetidewaternews.comeasternshorepost.comvirginiamercury.comreproductivefreedomforall.orgcongress.goveos.orgwarner.senate.govbluegreenalliance.orgcommondreams.orggiffords.orgwashingtonpost.comjewishinsider.comjweekly.comrepbio.org13newsnow.comabigailspanberger.comemilyslist.orgx.comtheguardian.comnotus.orgafge.orgvotevets.orgrollcall.compbs.orgpilotonline.comcbsnews.comnationalnewswatch.comabcnews.comthehill.comnbcnews.comnbcwashington.comvpm.orginstagram.comfacebook.comhistory.house.govfr.wikipedia.orgit.wikipedia.orgcdn.ballotpedia.orgdeveloper.ballotpedia.orglegislation.ballotpedia.orgvoterguide.ballotpedia.orgcommons.wikimedia.orgupload.wikimedia.orggovinfo.govkaine.senate.govdemocrats-armedservices.house.govwittman.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports targeted tax fixes for military and Gold Star families, backs measures to strengthen the social safety net (including support for the Affordable Care Act) and has voted for policies to raise worker pay and protect benefits, while emphasizing support for small businesses and job growth. Her record shows preference for some progressive tax and spending measures rather than broad tax-cutting approaches.
Healthcare
Supports strengthening and preserving the Affordable Care Act, protecting coverage for people with pre-existing conditions, defending Virginia’s Medicaid expansion, and lowering prescription drug costs (including measures to allow negotiation and limit out-of-pocket drug spending).
Show moreShow less
Immigration & Border
Supports protections for Dreamers and legislative farm-worker pathways while also having voted for border barriers and backed restrictive border enforcement policies such as Title 42; overall positions contain both humanitarian/regularization and enforcement-oriented elements.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Supports protecting abortion access and has said she favors codifying the protections of Roe v. Wade while accepting some state-level limits for later-stage procedures with health exceptions. Has cosponsored federal bills to protect reproductive freedom and voted consistently with pro-choice advocacy groups' positions.
Climate & Energy
Supports addressing climate change through moderate, market-driven and bipartisan approaches that back clean energy deployment (including offshore wind and nuclear) and measures consistent with the Paris Agreement while rejecting Green New Deal-style wholesale immediate phaseouts of fossil fuels. Has led and co-chaired a New Democrat Coalition Climate Change Task Force and has supported major federal climate and infrastructure laws.
Public Safety & Guns
Elaine Luria supports universal background checks, federal red flag (extreme risk) laws, bans on assault-style weapons and limits on large-capacity magazines, and other commonsense gun-safety measures while stating she respects lawful gun ownership. She has voted in Congress for the Enhanced/Bipartisan Background Checks bills, the Federal Extreme Risk Protection Order Act, and for an assault weapons ban (H.R. 1808 in 2022).
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 14, 2026
Elaine Luria is running for the Democratic nomination in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District, where she could face Rep. Jen Kiggans in the general election. Her campaign has recently drawn scrutiny after she was confronted on camera about her stock trading and net worth while in Congress. The race is still being shaped by redistricting uncertainty and a potentially more competitive district map.
fec.gov+66
Articles
PPOLITICO6 months ago
Virginia Democrats release proposed new congressional map
Positive
LMLewiston Morning Tribune4 months ago
Trump’s contempt for wind turbines creates political turbulence in the...
Neutral
FNFox News2 months ago
Former Rep Elaine Luria ambushed on camera over stock trading record
Negative
NVNorfolk Virginian-Pilot4 months ago
Here are the candidates hoping to win in Virginia's 2nd District
Neutral
Latest Polls
VA-02 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Endorsements
15VA-02 Democratic nominee?
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$10.8M
$8.1M
$5.4M
$2.7M
$0
2022
2024
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2022
$10.8M
$281.9K
$10.7M
$444.0K
Cycle 2024
$59.4K
$7.9K
$333.5K
$13.9K
Cycle 2026
$590.89
$0.00
$8.5K
$1.2K
Source: FEC