Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
49%
37.5%
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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
CA-04 House winner?
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Democrat
Eric Jones
Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California
$104.4K
NOV 7, 2026
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — CA-04 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
46%chance to win
$104.4KNOV 7, 2026Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleNonprofit executive
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyProgressive Democrat
LocationCalifornia
BackgroundNonprofit executive
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EducationYale University — B.A. in Economics and International Studies
Notable personal detailsEric Jones is a Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California’s 4th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle. He has worked in finance and investing, including as a partner at Dragoneer Investment Group, and founded the American Dream Institute, a nonprofit messaging and digital engagement organization. He has described his career as building and growing health care businesses and is a father of two based in Napa, California.
SourcesShowHide
fec.govnapacounty.govsec.govamericandreaminstitute.orgen.wikipedia.orgelections.cdn.sos.ca.govdocquery.fec.govsecure.actblue.comdp.electionresults.sos.ca.govericjones.uselections.saccounty.govyolorecorder.orgcapitolhillaccess.comcadem.orgleadershipnowproject.orgkqed.orgtheballotbook.comreddit.comzeeshanfortexas.comstennis.govtimesleaderonline.comimmigrationconsult.orgsr40.senate.ca.govtwitter.comeiglaw.comx.comaoba-metro.orghankjohnson.house.govpressdemocrat.comsacbee.comcapradio.orgdavisvanguard.orgdavisenterprise.comnews.ballotpedia.orgcalmatters.orgwfmd.compolitico.comnapavalleyregister.comca.news.yahoo.comfacebook.comdavisite.orgpredictionedge.cominstagram.comballotready.orgclerk.house.gov
Political Positions
LiberalConservative
Economy & Taxes
Supports tax changes that direct more revenue from corporations and wealthy interests toward middle- and working-class relief and program expansion, including closing corporate loopholes and creating targeted tax credits (e.g., a $10,000 middle-class tax credit and a first-time homebuyer tax credit). Advocates using corporate tax dollars to fund programs that lower costs for families while banning corporate PAC money and closing loopholes that allow some corporations to pay little or no tax.
Healthcare
Supports expanding Medicare benefits (dental, vision, hearing, in-home nursing care), lowering prescription drug and insurance costs, expanding access to mental health and childcare/elder care, and protecting reproductive and fertility care. Policy platform emphasizes government expansions to increase affordability and access rather than repeal or market-only reforms.
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Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Supports protecting and guaranteeing reproductive rights, including access to abortion, contraception, IVF, and fertility services. Advocates for ensuring reproductive care is available to people of all incomes as part of a broader healthcare platform.
Climate & Energy
The candidate emphasises holding PG&E accountable to improve electricity reliability, reduce wildfire risk, and lower utility rates, but does not provide detailed policy positions on greenhouse gas targets, renewable energy expansion, or national climate agreements. Available public materials focus on utility accountability and wildfire resilience rather than explicit climate or energy-transition policies.
Latest News
AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 23, 2026
Eric Jones is now in the general election for California’s 4th Congressional District after advancing from the primary, where late vote counts and outside spending helped shape the result. He is set to face longtime incumbent Mike Thompson. Jones has also been pressing Thompson to debate him nine times, trying to make the race more competitive in a district that was heavily redrawn.
fec.gov+44
Articles
SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat5 months ago
Democratic challenger Eric Jones poised to face Rep. Mike Thompson in general election for Northern California's 4th Congressional District
Positive
SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat5 months ago
Eric Jones trails in early 4th District ballot returns
Negative
SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat6 months ago
Rep. Mike Thompson is making his case for a 15th term in Congress. Here's what that looks like in California's 4th District
Neutral
SRSanta Rosa Press Democrat9 months ago
Sonoma Valley Democrats to host Feb. 9 forum for Thompson, primary challengers
Neutral
Latest Polls
CA-04 House winner?
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Eric Jones currently averages 49.0%, ranking first in this race, 11.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Polling average: 49.0%Position: firstMargin: +11.5 ptsLatest poll: 45.0% (Oct 15 - 21)Polls included: 2
Average recalculated from polls through Oct 15 - 21.
Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
Total raisedCash on hand
$8.4M
$6.3M
$4.2M
$2.1M
$0
2026
LatestYear
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate
Cycle 2026
$8.4M
$655.7K
$7.7M
$429.1K
Source: FEC
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- Endorsements