Prediction Edge
Democrat
Ferguson Porter

Ferguson Porter

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in California

Live Odds — CA-48 primary: first place

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$4.6KJUN 6, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleSmall business owner (comic book retailer)

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderMale

LocationCalifornia

Show more

BackgroundSmall business owner (comic book retailer)

EducationSouthern Methodist University (B.A., Cinema-Television, 2005)

Notable personal detailsFerguson Porter is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House of Representatives in California’s 48th Congressional District (2026 cycle). He moved from Dallas to Los Angeles after graduating from Southern Methodist University and later settled in Palm Springs, where he has run a small business selling comic books and has worked as a writer. He is married to a husband and has lived in the Coachella Valley area for many years.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports higher wages, seeks fairer taxation, and favors protections for workers against corporate exploitation while preserving Social Security and Medicare. Advocates public investment in education and healthcare alongside tax changes framed as fairer taxes.

Healthcare

Supports protecting Medicare and other government programs while lowering prescription costs and ensuring basic healthcare benefits are affordable; also supports investing in rural hospitals to improve access. Positions favor expanding access through government programs and affordability measures rather than wholesale privatization or single-payer repeal.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Ferguson Porter is in the news because he is one of the candidates in California’s 48th congressional district primary, which is being closely watched as a test of Democrats’ redistricting strategy. The race is competitive under California’s top-two system, and the big question is whether Democrats can place in the top two and advance to the general election. The summary does not provide any further details about Porter’s campaign or results.

fec.gov+46

Latest Polls

CA-48 primary: first place

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ferguson Porter currently averages 1.0%, ranking 6th in this race, 1.0 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 1.0%Position: 6thMargin: -1.0 ptsLatest poll: 1.0% (May 8 - 14)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through May 8 - 14.

Polling Average
30%20%10%0%
27%
11.5%
10.5%
Ferguson Porter
F. Porter
Jim Desmond
J. Desmond
Kevin O'Neil
K. O'Neil
Ammar Campa-Najjar
A. Campa-Najjar
Mike Schaefer
M. Schaefer
Eric Shaw
E. Shaw
Stephen Clemons
S. Clemons
Luis Reyna
L. Reyna
Date (Start - End)SpreadPorterDesmondO'NeilCampa-NajjarSchaeferShawClemonsReyna
Polling Average
Desmond+26.0
1.0%27.0%11.5%10.5%4.5%2.0%0.5%0.0%
SurveyUSAMay 8 - 14
Desmond+28.0
1.0%29.0%10.0%9.0%3.0%2.0%0.0%
SurveyUSAApr 14 - 19
Desmond+24.0
1.0%25.0%13.0%12.0%6.0%2.0%1.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

2
CA-48 primary: first place

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$62.5K
$46.9K
$31.2K
$15.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$62.5K
$21.5K
$41.0K
$4.6K

Source: FEC