Prediction Edge
Democrat
Francesca Hong

Francesca Hong

Democratic candidate for Governor in Wisconsin

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Francesca Hong is trading at 94% to win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleState Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyDemocratic Socialist

Age37 years old (Nov 4, 1988)

GenderFemale

Show more

LocationWisconsin

BackgroundPolitician

Notable personal detailsFrancesca Hong is a Wisconsin politician and former chef who has served as a Democratic member of the Wisconsin State Assembly representing the 76th Assembly District (Madison area) since 2021. She became the first Asian American elected to the Wisconsin Legislature and has focused on issues including wages, paid leave, education funding, and affordability. She launched a campaign for governor of Wisconsin on September 17, 2025.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports eliminating corporate tax breaks and closing loopholes to achieve tax fairness, redirecting revenue to public investments such as universal child care, higher education, and other programs; opposes flat tax proposals that would reduce taxes for the wealthy and increase inequality. Advocates regulating corporate subsidies (including ending subsidies for data centers) and creating public financial tools (e.g., a Wisconsin public bank) to lower costs for working families and small businesses.

Healthcare

Supports expanding Medicaid and creating a strong public option to lower premiums and expand access; prioritizes cracking down on claim denials and reducing hospital consolidation to make healthcare more affordable.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports protecting immigrants and refugees, restricting state cooperation with ICE, expanding access to services for undocumented residents who pay taxes, and legislation to keep families together and block ICE overreach.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Francesca Hong supports access to abortion and reproductive health care and has argued that individuals should be trusted to decide if and when to become parents. She has sponsored legislation described as restoring reproductive freedom and removing medically unnecessary restrictions on abortion care.

Climate & Energy

Francesca Hong supports building a clean energy economy, emphasizes the Inflation Reduction Act as a foundation for state climate action, and has proposed policies to require more renewable energy and environmental protections for large energy users. She has called for a statewide moratorium on AI/data-center construction until environmental, water, and electricity impacts and taxpayer subsidies are assessed, and proposes ending broad tax exemptions for data centers while directing revenue toward emissions-free energy infrastructure and stronger protections for ratepayers.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports responsible gun ownership while backing significant gun safety measures including bans on assault-style weapons and bump stocks, universal background checks and licensed dealers, red flag laws, safe-storage requirements, reasonable waiting periods, and a ban on sales to domestic abusers.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 7, 2026

Francesca Hong is drawing attention as a leading contender for the Wisconsin Democratic governor nomination, with recent polling showing her ahead in the primary. In the final stretch before the Aug. 11 primary, she has also faced scrutiny over past comments about canceling Thanksgiving and abolishing the police and prisons. Hong has since softened some of those positions, saying she no longer supports abolishing the police and that some earlier views were aspirational. The controversy has raised questions about how her message will play in a swing state, even as she remains a frontrunner.

en.wikipedia.org+58

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Francesca Hong currently averages 24.3%, ranking first in this race, 4.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 24.3%Position: firstMargin: +4.5 ptsLatest poll: 52.0% (Aug 4 - 5)Polls included: 14

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 4 - 5.

Polling Average
30%25%20%15%10%5%0%
24.3%
19.9%
10.3%
10.0%
7%
Francesca Hong
F. Hong
Mandela Barnes
M. Barnes
David Crowley
D. Crowley
Sara Rodriguez
S. Rodriguez
Josh Kaul
J. Kaul
Kelda Roys
K. Roys
Joel Brennan
J. Brennan
Missy Hughes
M. Hughes
Ben Wikler
B. Wikler
Brett Hulsey
B. Hulsey
Date (Start - End)SpreadHongBarnesCrowleyRodriguezKaulRoysBrennanHughesWiklerHulsey
Polling Average
Hong+4.5
24.3%19.9%10.3%10.0%7.0%3.2%2.5%1.1%1.0%0.4%
Public Policy PollingAug 4 - 5
Hong+19.0
52.0%33.0%
State NavigateJul 23 - 26
Hong+29.0
44.0%14.0%15.0%4.0%4.0%4.0%1.0%
Public Policy PollingJul 20 - 22
Hong+20.0
35.0%15.0%14.0%5.0%3.0%
Impact ResearchJul 18 - 20
Hong+13.0
39.0%26.0%11.0%7.0%6.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 18 - 20
Hong+8.0
38.0%30.0%9.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolJul 8 - 16
Hong+11.0
26.0%15.0%11.0%1.0%2.0%
Wedgewood PollsJul 2 - 4
Hong+2.0
30.0%28.0%19.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15
Barnes+16.1
7.3%23.4%8.2%10.4%3.3%1.7%0.2%0.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteMay 13 - 15
Barnes+15.6
8.5%24.1%8.0%12.3%3.9%1.6%0.2%0.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolMar 11 - 18
Hong+3.0
14.0%11.0%3.0%3.0%1.0%2.0%1.0%0.0%
Patriot PollingMar 10 - 16
Hong+9.0
27.0%18.0%6.0%6.0%
Marquette University Law SchoolFeb 11 - 19
Hong+1.0
11.0%10.0%3.0%6.0%1.0%2.0%2.0%1.0%
TIPP InsightsFeb 6 - 12
Barnes+23.0
5.0%28.0%7.0%20.0%2.0%0.0%1.0%1.0%
Platform CommunicationsSep 28 - 30
Barnes+12.0
4.0%16.0%7.0%8.0%7.0%4.0%2.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place

Endorsers of Francesca Hong for Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place

More than 25 local elected officials and community leaders

Elected official

More than 25 local elected officials and community leaders endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

Learn more

Voces de la Frontera Action

Elected official

Voces de la Frontera Action endorsed Francesca Hong for governor of Wisconsin in the Democratic primary.

Learn more

Citizen Action of Wisconsin

Elected official

Citizen Action of Wisconsin endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

Learn more

Wisconsin Muslim Civic Alliance

Elected official

Wisconsin Muslim Civic Alliance endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

Learn more

Our Wisconsin Revolution

Elected official

Our Wisconsin Revolution endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

Learn more

Nina Turner

Elected official

Nina Turner endorsed Francesca Hong for governor.

Learn more

Our Revolution

Elected official

Our Revolution endorsed Francesca Hong for governor of Wisconsin.

Learn more

Ilhan Omar

Elected official

Ilhan Omar endorsed Francesca Hong for governor of Wisconsin.

Learn more

Milwaukee Democratic Socialists of America

Elected official

Milwaukee Democratic Socialists of America endorsed Francesca Hong in the Wisconsin governor race.

Learn more

Wisconsin Electoral Socialists

Elected official

Wisconsin Electoral Socialists endorsed Francesca Hong for Wisconsin governor.

Learn more

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising