Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place
4dFrancesca Hong is now the front-runner in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place, with 87% odds and a 73.0-point lead.

Democratic candidate for Governor in Wisconsin
Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place
Primary Election
Party selects its nominee.
Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.
Francesca Hong is trading at 99% to win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place on prediction markets.
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleState Representative
PartyDemocratic
Political ideologyDemocratic Socialist
Age37 years old (Nov 4, 1988)
GenderFemale
LocationWisconsin
BackgroundPolitician
Notable personal detailsFrancesca Hong is a Wisconsin politician and former chef who has served as a Democratic member of the Wisconsin State Assembly representing the 76th Assembly District (Madison area) since 2021. She became the first Asian American elected to the Wisconsin Legislature and has focused on issues including wages, paid leave, education funding, and affordability. She launched a campaign for governor of Wisconsin on September 17, 2025.
Supports eliminating corporate tax breaks and closing loopholes to achieve tax fairness, redirecting revenue to public investments such as universal child care, higher education, and other programs; opposes flat tax proposals that would reduce taxes for the wealthy and increase inequality. Advocates regulating corporate subsidies (including ending subsidies for data centers) and creating public financial tools (e.g., a Wisconsin public bank) to lower costs for working families and small businesses.
Supports expanding Medicaid and creating a strong public option to lower premiums and expand access; prioritizes cracking down on claim denials and reducing hospital consolidation to make healthcare more affordable.
Supports protecting immigrants and refugees, restricting state cooperation with ICE, expanding access to services for undocumented residents who pay taxes, and legislation to keep families together and block ICE overreach.
Francesca Hong supports access to abortion and reproductive health care and has argued that individuals should be trusted to decide if and when to become parents. She has sponsored legislation described as restoring reproductive freedom and removing medically unnecessary restrictions on abortion care.
Francesca Hong supports building a clean energy economy, emphasizes the Inflation Reduction Act as a foundation for state climate action, and has proposed policies to require more renewable energy and environmental protections for large energy users. She has called for a statewide moratorium on AI/data-center construction until environmental, water, and electricity impacts and taxpayer subsidies are assessed, and proposes ending broad tax exemptions for data centers while directing revenue toward emissions-free energy infrastructure and stronger protections for ratepayers.
Supports responsible gun ownership while backing significant gun safety measures including bans on assault-style weapons and bump stocks, universal background checks and licensed dealers, red flag laws, safe-storage requirements, reasonable waiting periods, and a ban on sales to domestic abusers.
Recent changes in prediction-market odds, polling and campaign status.
Francesca Hong is now the front-runner in the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary: 2nd place, with 87% odds and a 73.0-point lead.
Francesca Hong lost the Wisconsin Democratic gubernatorial nomination to Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley after a very close primary. The race was tight through the vote count, but Crowley pulled ahead as delayed Milwaukee absentee ballots were added. Hong had led in some recent polls, but Democrats increasingly worried about her general-election viability and party support shifted toward Crowley. The result sets Crowley up to face Republican Tom Tiffany in the November governor’s race.
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.
Francesca Hong currently averages 24.3%, ranking first in this race, 4.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.
Average recalculated from polls through Aug 4 - 5.



Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
New updates coming soon
We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.