Prediction Edge
Democrat
Frederick Haynes III

Frederick Haynes III

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Frederick Haynes III is trading at 98% to win the TX-30 House winner? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current rolePastor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age65 years old (Nov 10, 1960)

GenderMale

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LocationTexas

BackgroundPastor

EducationBishop College — B.A. (Religion and English)

Notable personal detailsFrederick Douglass Haynes III is an American pastor and Democratic politician from Texas. He has served as senior pastor of Friendship-West Baptist Church in Dallas since 1983. Haynes has also been active in social-justice and community-advocacy work and has been involved with national civil-rights organizations, including Rainbow PUSH Coalition leadership. He filed with the FEC as a candidate for U.S. House in Texas’ 30th Congressional District for the 2026 cycle.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports progressive economic policies focused on lowering costs for households and expanding social supports, including plans to lower health care, housing, child care and college costs and to rethink a living wage. Backs expansions of refundable tax credits such as the Child Tax Credit and Earned Income Tax Credit and supports policies like Medicare for All and Medicaid expansion. Emphasizes worker protections and collective bargaining as part of economic policy rather than tax cuts for corporations or the wealthy.

Healthcare

Supports Medicare for All and expansion of Medicaid in non-expansion states, along with strengthening the Affordable Care Act, increased funding for community health centers, mental-health parity, and investments in preventive care to improve access, affordability, and equity.

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Immigration & Border

Supports dismantling or abolishing U.S. Immigration and Customs Enforcement and advances progressive immigration reform positions tied to humanitarian oversight rather than enforcement expansion.

Climate & Energy

Supports environmental protection and environmental justice and frames climate change as a problem that disproportionately harms communities of color; aligns with progressive policy priorities in campaign messaging and endorsements. Public statements emphasize involvement in the fight to protect the environment and advancing justice-centered policy approaches.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Frederick Haynes III won the Democratic primary for Texas’s 30th Congressional District and is now the party’s nominee for the general election. He is expected to be the Democratic favorite in the district, which is described as strongly Democratic. The recent coverage mainly focuses on his nomination and the race to replace Jasmine Crockett.

fec.gov+49

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$347.4K
$260.6K
$173.7K
$86.9K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$347.4K
$124.8K
$222.6K
$14.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Polls
  • Endorsements