Prediction Edge
Republican
Garrett Mason

Garrett Mason

Republican candidate for Governor in Maine

Live Odds — Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0.1%chance to win

$168.1KJUN 10, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleCommissioner

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age41 years old (Jun 19, 1985)

GenderMale

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LocationMaine

BackgroundPolitician

EducationPensacola Christian College — B.S. (Management and Marketing), 2006

Notable personal detailsGarrett Paul Mason is an American Republican politician and businessman from Maine. He served in the Maine Senate from 2010 to 2018 and was Senate Majority Leader from 2014 to 2018. He later served as an Androscoggin County Commissioner (District 4) and is a partner at Dirigo Public Affairs. He is a graduate of Pensacola Christian College and has worked in sports management and government affairs.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate advocates significant reductions to Maine’s personal income tax, including continuing reductions with the goal of eventual elimination, and supports tax-cutting policies intended to keep more money with families and businesses. He has also proposed refundable tax credits tied to family savings accounts for children. Overall his public positions emphasize major tax cuts and pro-growth, small-government fiscal priorities.

Healthcare

Garrett Mason has repeatedly opposed Medicaid expansion in Maine and has said he would seek to repeal or block implementation of expansion. He has stated that health care is not a human right and has argued Medicaid expansion risks fiscal problems and benefits hospitals/insurers over taxpayers.

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Immigration & Border

Supports coordination between local law enforcement and federal immigration authorities and indicates deputies may check documentation and contact Border Patrol for people without papers. Has said local agencies do not themselves enforce immigration laws but will involve federal authorities when individuals lack documentation. Positions emphasize enforcement and cooperation with federal immigration enforcement rather than expanded asylum access or regularization pathways.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate identifies as pro-life and opposes abortion except to save the life of the mother, opposes state funding for abortion providers, and supports state (10th Amendment) control over abortion regulation.

Climate & Energy

Garrett Mason has promoted policies prioritizing lower energy costs for businesses and supported shifting Regional Greenhouse Gas Initiative (RGGI) trust fund money toward ratepayer rebates rather than efficiency programs; he has expressed support for renewable energy development while opposing carbon-fee style taxation.

Public Safety & Guns

Opposes bans on so-called assault weapons and argues that gun restrictions primarily burden law‑abiding citizens rather than addressing the people who use weapons unlawfully. Has received top pro‑gun ratings from the NRA. Questioned proposals to arm school personnel and expressed skepticism about additional gun controls during legislative debate.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Garrett Mason is running for the Republican nomination for Maine governor, backed by national donors aligned with Donald Trump. He has been campaigning on his legislative experience, tax cuts, and school choice, and he has also been part of the broader push among GOP candidates for a possible Trump endorsement. In the primary, Mason finished well behind the leaders in first-round ranked-choice voting, with the final tabulation still pending.

en.wikipedia.org+46

Latest Polls

Maine Republican Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Garrett Mason currently averages 10.4%, ranking 4th in this race, 5.1 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 10.4%Position: 4thMargin: -5.1 ptsLatest poll: 10.0% (May 28 - Jun 3)Polls included: 8

Average recalculated from polls through May 28 - Jun 3.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
10.4%
37%
23%
15.5%
7.9%
Garrett Mason
G. Mason
Robert Charles
R. Charles
Shawn Moody
S. Moody
Jonathan Bush
J. Bush
Ben Midgley
B. Midgley
David Jones
D. Jones
Owen McCarthy
O. McCarthy
Robert Wessels
R. Wessels
James Libby
J. Libby
Date (Start - End)SpreadMasonCharlesMoodyBushMidgleyJonesMcCarthyWesselsLibby
Polling Average
Charles+26.6
10.4%37.0%23.0%15.5%7.9%4.2%4.2%3.2%1.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+24.0
10.0%34.0%17.0%10.0%2.0%7.0%2.0%0.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+29.0
13.0%42.0%23.0%13.0%9.0%
SurveyUSAMay 28 - Jun 3
Charles+30.0
14.0%44.0%26.0%16.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterMay 21 - 25
Charles+28.0
9.0%37.0%18.0%11.0%7.0%2.0%6.0%
Pan Atlantic ResearchMay 8 - 18
Charles+23.0
13.0%36.0%20.0%2.0%3.0%4.0%1.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesApr 28 - 30
Charles+36.0
11.0%47.0%11.0%5.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterFeb 12 - 16
Charles+16.0
12.0%28.0%5.0%6.0%7.0%1.0%4.0%2.0%
McLaughlin & AssociatesAug 23 - 25
Charles+27.0
1.0%28.0%23.0%4.0%0.3%2.0%2.0%3.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

9
Maine Republican Governor nominee?

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We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising