Prediction Edge
Republican
Gavriel Soriano

Gavriel Soriano

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-14 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$42.6KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleBusinessman

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationFlorida

BackgroundBusinessman

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EducationBeit Midrash Education Center

Notable personal detailsGavriel Eliyahu Soriano is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Florida’s 14th Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He previously ran in the 2022 Republican primary for Florida’s 11th Congressional District. He has been described in local reporting as a businessman and has operated a federal campaign committee, Soriano for Congress.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports a small-government, conservative approach to governance and emphasizes conservative economic values, indicating preference for limited government intervention in economic policy. Campaign materials and profiles present him as a Republican who advances conservative fiscal priorities.

Healthcare

Emphasizes an 'America First' approach to healthcare that prioritizes care for U.S. citizens and highlights mental-health interventions (notably in the context of reducing gun violence). Public statements found are brief and do not provide clear positions on ACA expansion, Medicare-for-All, a public option, Medicaid policy, or other specific reform proposals.

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Immigration & Border

Supports stronger southern border security and withholding state or federal funds from jurisdictions that do not comply with immigration laws; favors admitting immigrants who lack serious criminal histories but emphasizes securing the border and enforcement.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports significant restrictions on abortion, stating it should generally only be allowed when continuation threatens the mother’s life and allowing exceptions in most cases of incest and some cases of rape; the candidate also opposes government funding for abortion providers.

Latest Polls

FL-14 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Gavriel Soriano currently averages 0.9%, ranking 6th in this race, 0.2 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 0.9%Position: 6thMargin: -0.2 ptsLatest poll: 0.7% (Aug 6 - 8)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 6 - 8.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
30.2%
27.4%
7.3%
Gavriel Soriano
G. Soriano
Mike Beltran
M. Beltran
Kevin Steele
K. Steele
Bea Valenti
B. Valenti
Rocky Rochford
R. Rochford
Michael Marcel
M. Marcel
Date (Start - End)SpreadSorianoBeltranSteeleValentiRochfordMarcel
Polling Average
Beltran+29.4
0.9%30.2%27.4%7.3%3.3%1.1%
Catalyst ResearchAug 6 - 8
Beltran+28.3
0.7%29.0%26.1%7.8%4.1%1.0%
Catalyst ResearchAug 6 - 8
Beltran+37.6
1.8%39.4%33.2%11.5%6.7%2.0%
Victory InsightsAug 4 - 6
Steele+31.1
1.0%22.5%32.1%8.3%0.9%
St. Pete PollsJul 14 - 15
Beltran+30.0
0.0%30.0%18.1%1.6%1.3%0.3%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$26.5K
$19.9K
$13.3K
$6.6K
$0

2022

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$26.5K
$145.50
$26.4K
$1.1K

Cycle 2026

$1.7K
$24.95
$1.6K
$108.86

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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