Prediction Edge
Democrat
Geoff Duncan

Geoff Duncan

Overview

Current roleFormer Lieutenant Governor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age51 years old (Apr 1, 1975)

GenderMale

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LocationGeorgia

BackgroundPolitician

EducationChattahoochee High School (Alpharetta, Georgia)

Notable personal detailsGeoff Duncan is an American politician and former professional baseball player who served as the 12th Lieutenant Governor of Georgia from 2019 to 2023. He previously represented District 26 in the Georgia House of Representatives, first elected in 2012. After his baseball career, he worked as an entrepreneur and marketing/business executive and later became active in state politics. He launched a Democratic campaign for Georgia governor in 2025 after leaving the Republican Party.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Historically, Geoff Duncan has promoted state tax cuts and tax-credit proposals and has advocated lowering the state income tax to make Georgia more competitive; while campaigning he supported targeted tax credits (including a police donation tax credit) and helped negotiate income tax rate reductions. His current campaign emphasizes lowering costs for families but does not present a detailed tax plan on the campaign website.

Healthcare

The candidate supports expanding Medicaid in Georgia, prioritizes lowering health care costs, protecting rural hospitals, and expanding access to care in rural communities. He frames expansion as both fiscally responsible (accessing federal matching dollars) and humane, and has shifted from a prior opposition to Medicaid expansion to now advocating for it.

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Immigration & Border

Supports securing an orderly, secure border while opposing inhumane ICE raid tactics and saying the state should not use assets to aid federal raids; favors deporting immigrants who have committed felonies while creating pathways to legal status for others. Emphasizes a humanitarian approach to immigration enforcement rather than broad, punitive measures.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate now supports repealing Georgia’s six-week abortion ban, restoring abortion access consistent with Roe v. Wade, and would sign an executive order to protect doctors treating pregnant patients. He has publicly acknowledged he was wrong to support previous restrictive abortion laws.

Climate & Energy

The candidate has described environmental stewardship as important and said Georgians should act to be good stewards of the state’s environment, but has not articulated specific statewide climate or energy policies (e.g., emissions targets, clean energy mandates, carbon pricing) in available sources. Public statements are general and do not show a clear progressive or conservative policy approach on climate and energy.

Public Safety & Guns

Geoff Duncan has expressed openness to new gun-safety measures and called for a conservative, comprehensive conversation about reducing gun violence while framing support for public-safety reforms alongside respect for lawful gun ownership. He criticized permit-less/’constitutional carry’ expansions and has urged consideration of policy changes to address mass shootings and gun violence.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Geoff Duncan is in the middle of Georgia’s Democratic governor primary, where he is one of the leading candidates heading into the May 19 vote. He has been featured in recent debates and coverage of the race, including discussions of abortion, Medicaid expansion, immigration, rural healthcare, and data centers. Duncan has also faced criticism over his past support for Georgia’s 2019 abortion ban, and he says he has reversed that position and would work to overturn the law if elected. The race may go to a runoff if no candidate wins a majority.

house.ga.gov+55

Polls

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
8.8%
39.7%
11.4%
6.2%
Geoff Duncan
G. Duncan
Keisha Lance Bottoms
K. Bottoms
Michael Thurmond
M. Thurmond
Jason Esteves
J. Esteves
Ruwa Romman
R. Romman
Olujimi Brown
O. Brown
Date (Start - End)SpreadDuncanBottomsThurmondEstevesRommanBrown
Polling Average
Bottoms+30.9
8.8%39.7%11.4%6.2%1.2%0.8%
InsiderAdvantageApr 28 - 29
Bottoms+43.0
9.0%52.0%16.0%5.3%1.7%
University of Georgia School of Public and International AffairsApr 23 - 29
Bottoms+32.3
6.5%38.8%10.2%8.0%0.3%
Concord Public Opinion PartnersMar 31 - Apr 10
Bottoms+34.0
8.0%42.0%12.0%6.0%1.0%
20/20 InsightMar 19 - 24
Bottoms+20.0
12.0%32.0%11.0%14.0%
Emerson CollegeFeb 28 - Mar 2
Bottoms+22.0
12.8%34.8%7.4%3.7%0.2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International AffairsOct 15 - 23
Bottoms+35.7
4.5%40.2%11.0%2.5%1.2%
Public Policy PollingSep 15 - 16
Bottoms+29.0
9.0%38.0%12.0%4.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

Endorsers of Geoff Duncan for Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?

Fred Waller

Elected official

Reynolds Mayor Fred Waller endorsed Geoff Duncan for governor.

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Donzella James

Elected official

Senator Donzella James endorsed Geoff Duncan for governor.

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Michelle Au

Elected official

Georgia state Rep. Michelle Au endorsed Geoff Duncan for governor.

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Melvin Woodall

Former elected official

Former Georgia NAACP President Melvin Woodall endorsed Geoff Duncan for governor.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising