Prediction Edge
Democrat
Geoff Duncan

Overview

Current roleFormer Lieutenant Governor

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age51 years old (Apr 1, 1975)

GenderMale

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LocationGeorgia

BackgroundPolitician

EducationGeorgia Institute of Technology (BS)

Notable personal detailsGeoff Duncan (Geoffrey L. Duncan) is an American politician, businessman, and former professional baseball player who served as the 12th lieutenant governor of Georgia from 2019 to 2023 and previously represented the 26th District in the Georgia House of Representatives (2013–2017). He played college baseball at the Georgia Institute of Technology before a six-season minor-league career in the Florida Marlins organization. After leaving elected office, he became a political commentator and launched a 2026 campaign for governor of Georgia as a Democrat.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Historically, Geoff Duncan has promoted state tax cuts and tax-credit proposals and has advocated lowering the state income tax to make Georgia more competitive; while campaigning he supported targeted tax credits (including a police donation tax credit) and helped negotiate income tax rate reductions. His current campaign emphasizes lowering costs for families but does not present a detailed tax plan on the campaign website.

Healthcare

The candidate supports expanding Medicaid in Georgia, prioritizes lowering health care costs, protecting rural hospitals, and expanding access to care in rural communities. He frames expansion as both fiscally responsible (accessing federal matching dollars) and humane, and has shifted from a prior opposition to Medicaid expansion to now advocating for it.

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Immigration & Border

Supports securing an orderly, secure border while opposing inhumane ICE raid tactics and saying the state should not use assets to aid federal raids; favors deporting immigrants who have committed felonies while creating pathways to legal status for others. Emphasizes a humanitarian approach to immigration enforcement rather than broad, punitive measures.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate now supports repealing Georgia’s six-week abortion ban, restoring abortion access consistent with Roe v. Wade, and would sign an executive order to protect doctors treating pregnant patients. He has publicly acknowledged he was wrong to support previous restrictive abortion laws.

Climate & Energy

The candidate has described environmental stewardship as important and said Georgians should act to be good stewards of the state’s environment, but has not articulated specific statewide climate or energy policies (e.g., emissions targets, clean energy mandates, carbon pricing) in available sources. Public statements are general and do not show a clear progressive or conservative policy approach on climate and energy.

Public Safety & Guns

Geoff Duncan has expressed openness to new gun-safety measures and called for a conservative, comprehensive conversation about reducing gun violence while framing support for public-safety reforms alongside respect for lawful gun ownership. He criticized permit-less/’constitutional carry’ expansions and has urged consideration of policy changes to address mass shootings and gun violence.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 4, 2026

Geoff Duncan is in the news as a candidate in Georgia’s Democratic governor race, which is now moving through the primary and could head to a runoff if no one wins a majority. He has been one of the leading candidates in recent debates, where he discussed issues like Medicaid expansion, abortion, immigration, rural healthcare, and data centers. Duncan is also facing scrutiny over his past support for Georgia’s 2019 abortion ban, and he says he has reversed that position and would work to overturn it if elected.

en.wikipedia.org+43

Polls

Georgia Democratic Governor nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
8.8%
39.7%
11.4%
6.2%
Geoff Duncan
G. Duncan
Keisha Lance Bottoms
K. Bottoms
Michael Thurmond
M. Thurmond
Jason Esteves
J. Esteves
Ruwa Romman
R. Romman
O. Brown
Date (Start - End)SpreadDuncanBottomsThurmondEstevesRommanBrown
Polling Average
Bottoms+30.9
8.8%39.7%11.4%6.2%1.2%0.8%
InsiderAdvantageApr 28 - 29
Bottoms+43.0
9.0%52.0%16.0%5.3%1.7%
University of Georgia School of Public and International AffairsApr 23 - 29
Bottoms+32.3
6.5%38.8%10.2%8.0%0.3%
Concord Public Opinion PartnersMar 31 - Apr 10
Bottoms+34.0
8.0%42.0%12.0%6.0%1.0%
20/20 InsightMar 19 - 24
Bottoms+20.0
12.0%32.0%11.0%14.0%
Emerson CollegeFeb 28 - Mar 2
Bottoms+22.0
12.8%34.8%7.4%3.7%0.2%
University of Georgia School of Public and International AffairsOct 15 - 23
Bottoms+35.7
4.5%40.2%11.0%2.5%1.2%
Public Policy PollingSep 15 - 16
Bottoms+29.0
9.0%38.0%12.0%4.0%1.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising