Prediction Edge
Democrat
Gina Hinojosa

Overview

Current roleState Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

GenderFemale

LocationTexas

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BackgroundAttorney

EducationUniversity of Texas at Austin — B.A. (Plan II Honors/Government)

Notable personal detailsGina Hinojosa is a Democratic member of the Texas House of Representatives representing District 49 in central Austin and the University of Texas area. She previously served on the Austin Independent School District Board of Trustees and was elected board president. She earned a B.A. from the University of Texas at Austin and a J.D. from George Washington University Law School, and worked as a civil rights and labor attorney. In 2025, she launched a campaign for Governor of Texas.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Positions emphasize reducing costs for families and curbing corporate influence while also proposing targeted tax relief for small businesses; there is not clear evidence of a consistent stance advocating major tax increases on the wealthy or broad tax-cutting ideology.

Healthcare

Supports expanding access to comprehensive public healthcare for all Texas residents and has pledged to carry/enact legislation (the Healthy Texas Act) to provide every Texas resident with comprehensive healthcare services. Campaign materials list “Quality and Accessible Healthcare for All Texans” as a top priority and cite past legislative work to secure federal funds for indigent health care. She has introduced and supported bills and organizing efforts aimed at broad public-health coverage and exceptions to restrictive abortion laws tied to medical necessity.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate opposes state facilitation of ICE raids and detention, calls for the release and humane treatment of detained children and refugees, and criticizes private prison involvement in immigration enforcement. The candidate frames immigration policy around protecting families and lawful, orderly systems rather than expanded enforcement or state-enabled detention operations.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion access and opposes Texas’s strict abortion bans while advocating exceptions in law for cases such as lethal fetal anomalies; has campaigned on restoring and protecting reproductive health care.

Climate & Energy

Supports an active state-level climate agenda emphasizing large emissions reductions and a transition to clean energy, including a multi-bill Texas Climate Plan to reduce greenhouse gases and expand renewable energy. Focuses on policy packages and legislative action to make Texas a leader in lowering emissions while addressing impacts such as water management.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports implementing gun-safety reforms that include requiring licenses to carry long guns and other measures to reduce gun violence while affirming that she does not advocate eliminating lawful access to guns. Has proposed laws to prohibit carrying firearms while intoxicated and has called for comprehensive public-safety approaches (education, licensing, local options such as campus opt-outs).

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

Gina Hinojosa has secured the Democratic nomination for Texas governor and will face incumbent Greg Abbott in the November 2026 general election. Recent polling shows her trailing Abbott by about 5 to 7 points, though earlier polls were closer. She has also been drawing attention from party leaders and local media, including a Dallas Morning News endorsement and coverage of her campaign platform on education, taxes, healthcare, and infrastructure.

house.texas.gov+46

Polls

Texas Democratic Governor nominee?
Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
52.1%
9.7%
Gina Hinojosa
G. Hinojosa
Chris Bell
C. Bell
Bobby Cole
B. Cole
Andrew White
A. White
Date (Start - End)SpreadHinojosaBellColeWhite
Polling Average
Hinojosa+42.4
52.1%9.7%4.8%3.5%
YouGovFeb 26 - Mar 2
Hinojosa+50.0
55.0%4.0%5.0%
Blueprint PollingFeb 23 - 24
Hinojosa+57.4
60.9%3.5%2.8%0.9%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchFeb 13 - 22
Hinojosa+35.0
60.0%25.0%
University of Texas at Tyler Center for Opinion ResearchFeb 13 - 22
Hinojosa+33.0
58.0%25.0%
Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas/YouGovFeb 2 - 16
Hinojosa+67.0
76.0%4.0%9.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public Affairs/YouGovJan 20 - 31
Hinojosa+30.0
37.0%7.0%6.0%
Slingshot StrategiesJan 14 - 21
Hinojosa+25.0
29.0%4.0%3.0%
Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey CenterDec 9 - 11
Hinojosa+35.0
41.0%5.0%3.0%6.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising