Prediction Edge
Democrat
Gretchen Brown

Gretchen Brown

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds — TX-18 Democratic nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$122.2KMAY 27, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate emphasizes economic mobility, small-business access to capital, and using federal tools to lower housing costs; she describes supporting “fair tax policy” but does not provide detailed proposals on tax rates or specific tax changes. Public materials prioritize job training, unlocking capital for small businesses, and targeted federal investment rather than explicit large tax increases or cuts. The available sources do not state a clear, specific position on raising or lowering taxes for wealthy individuals or corporations.

Healthcare

Supports basic universal health coverage and expanding community-based approaches to improve access and outcomes (including Black maternal health) while using federal funding to expand services in underserved communities.

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Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes securing federal resources for infrastructure, flood protection, emergency preparedness, and utility resilience and references using EPA and USDA programs to address local environmental problems. Her campaign platform highlights job training tied to the district’s energy and petrochemical industries but does not set out explicit emissions targets, support for major clean-energy transition legislation, or opposition to fossil-fuel development. Overall, policy statements on climate mitigation or energy transition are limited and focus on resilience and leveraging federal

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Gretchen Brown is in the news because she is a candidate in the redrawn Texas 18th District Democratic primary, where the race has advanced to a runoff. The district was reshaped in redistricting, and the contest is part of a broader wave of primary fights and map changes affecting House races. The latest reporting focuses more on the runoff and the redistricting battle than on Brown specifically, so details about her role in the race are limited.

fec.gov+50

Latest Polls

TX-18 Democratic nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Gretchen Brown currently averages 0.5%, ranking 4th in this race, 7.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 0.5%Position: 4thMargin: -7.5 ptsLatest poll: 0.0% (Feb 2 - 8)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through Feb 2 - 8.

Polling Average
60%50%40%30%20%10%0%
50.5%
28.5%
8%
Gretchen Brown
G. Brown
Christian Menefee
C. Menefee
Al Green
A. Green
Amanda Edwards
A. Edwards
Date (Start - End)SpreadBrownMenefeeGreenEdwards
Polling Average
Menefee+50.0
0.5%50.5%28.5%8.0%
Lake Research PartnersFeb 2 - 8
Menefee+49.0
0.0%49.0%29.0%7.0%
University of Houston Hobby School of Public AffairsFeb 3 - 8
Menefee+51.0
1.0%52.0%28.0%9.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$17.6K
$13.2K
$8.8K
$4.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$17.6K
$5.5K
$1.5K
$86.02

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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