Prediction Edge
Democrat
Gwen Graham

Gwen Graham

Democratic candidate for Governor in Florida

Live Odds — Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1.1%chance to win

$35.7KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyModerate Democrat

Age63 years old (Jan 31, 1963)

GenderFemale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundAttorney

EducationB.A., University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (1984)

Notable personal detailsGwen Graham is an American attorney and Democratic politician who represented Florida’s 2nd Congressional District in the U.S. House of Representatives from 2015 to 2017. She previously worked in private law practice and served as director of employee relations for the Leon County School District. She earned a B.A. from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill and a J.D. from American University’s Washington College of Law. She later served in the U.S. Department of Education as Assistant Secretary for Legislation and Congressional Affairs.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reversing recent federal tax cuts and increasing revenue to fund priorities such as public education, raising the minimum wage, and paid sick leave; describes Florida as a low-tax state that needs revision of current tax policy to better fund services.

Healthcare

Supports expanding Medicaid in Florida and protecting/defending the Affordable Care Act while pursuing targeted fixes; emphasizes protecting Medicare for seniors. Does not endorse single-payer/Medicare for All in available public statements.

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Immigration & Border

Supports expanded legal protections and pathways for immigrants, including preserving DACA and Temporary Protected Status and backing legislation to grant permanent residency for eligible refugees; opposes restrictive measures such as travel bans and has framed immigration with a humanitarian focus.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports abortion rights and pro-choice policies; pledges to veto legislation that would limit a woman’s right to reproductive healthcare and has been endorsed by pro-choice groups. Advocates protecting and expanding access to abortion and related reproductive services.

Climate & Energy

Supports recognizing and addressing climate change through renewable energy standards, joining state climate alliances to uphold the Paris Agreement, banning fracking and opposing offshore drilling, and appointing science-minded regulators to promote solar and clean-energy investment.

Public Safety & Guns

Supports banning assault-style weapons and pursuing stronger gun-safety measures including expanded background checks and red-flag (extreme risk) interventions; has pledged executive action and legal support for local gun ordinances that exceed state preemption. Positions include enforcing and building on post-Parkland reforms and backing additional restrictions to keep weapons of war off the streets.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 12, 2026

Gwen Graham is in the news because David Jolly named her as his running mate in his 2026 Florida governor campaign. The Democratic ticket is trying to build support among rural, working-class, and moderate voters, but it faces major Republican advantages in registration and fundraising. Earlier reports said Graham was being considered for the role before the announcement was made.

history.house.gov+53

Latest Polls

Florida Democratic Governor nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Gwen Graham currently averages 9.0%, ranking third in this race, 14.5 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 9.0%Position: thirdMargin: -14.5 ptsLatest poll: 13.0% (May 5 - 7)Polls included: 2

Average recalculated from polls through May 5 - 7.

Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
9%
41%
23.5%
8.5%
5%
Gwen Graham
G. Graham
Jason Pizzo
J. Pizzo
Daniella Levine Cava
D. Cava
David Jolly
D. Jolly
Angie Nixon
A. Nixon
Fentrice Driskell
F. Driskell
Shevrin Jones
S. Jones
Date (Start - End)SpreadGrahamPizzoCavaJollyNixonDriskellJones
Polling Average
Pizzo+32.0
9.0%41.0%23.5%8.5%5.0%4.0%3.0%
Targoz Market ResearchMay 5 - 7
Cava+19.0
13.0%32.0%10.0%6.0%7.0%4.0%
Targoz Market ResearchApr 15 - 22
Pizzo+36.0
5.0%41.0%15.0%7.0%4.0%1.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements
  • Fundraising