Prediction Edge
Republican
Hollie Noveletsky

Hollie Noveletsky

Republican candidate for U.S. House in New Hampshire

Live Odds — NH-01 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

12%chance to win

$5.5KSEP 9, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleBusiness executive (steel fabrication)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

LocationNew Hampshire

BackgroundBusiness executive (steel fabrication)

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EducationBS Nursing, Rush University (1981)

Notable personal detailsHollie T. Noveletsky is a Republican candidate for New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District and previously ran for the seat in 2024. She is the CEO/owner of Novel Iron Works and president/owner of Rose Steel, and has worked as a geriatric and psychiatric/mental health nurse practitioner. She has military experience as a U.S. Army Reserve and Army National Guard veteran.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports keeping taxes low, cutting federal regulations, reducing government spending, and advocating fiscal responsibility while protecting American jobs and manufacturing. Prioritizes working with the Trump administration to lower costs for constituents and opposing what she describes as needless federal spending.

Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes securing both the northern and southern borders, closing routes that enable illegal immigration, and prioritizing enforcement and resources for U.S. citizens; she opposes immigration legislation she views as insufficient to end the border crisis. She supports making legal immigration easier through skill-based visas while prioritizing stronger border controls and reduced incentives for illegal entry.

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Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Will not support a federal ban on abortion and believes abortion policy should be decided by the states. Indicates support for leaving regulation to state law rather than pursuing federal abortion bans; New Hampshire law allows abortion access up to about 24 weeks with later exceptions.

Climate & Energy

Supports an ‘‘all of the above’’ energy approach that includes expanded domestic drilling and nuclear power while allowing renewables to grow without mandates or government "picking winners and losers." Prioritizes increasing energy supply, cutting federal regulations, and protecting American manufacturing and jobs (including Buy American provisions).

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate expresses strong support for the Second Amendment and opposes bans on “military-style” firearms while framing herself as a protector of gun rights. Her campaign materials emphasize standing up for gun owners and opposing federal restrictions.

Latest Polls

NH-01 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Hollie Noveletsky currently averages 11.5%, ranking first in this race, 2.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 11.5%Position: firstMargin: +2.5 ptsLatest poll: 16.0% (Jun 24 - 25)Polls included: 4

Average recalculated from polls through Jun 24 - 25.

Polling Average
15%10%5%0%
11.5%
9%
5.5%
Hollie Noveletsky
H. Noveletsky
Anthony DiLorenzo
A. DiLorenzo
B. Cole
Melissa Bailey
M. Bailey
Date (Start - End)SpreadNoveletskyDiLorenzoColeBailey
Polling Average
Noveletsky+2.5
11.5%9.0%5.5%2.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterJun 24 - 25
Noveletsky+3.0
16.0%13.0%8.0%2.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterJan 15 - 19
Noveletsky+5.0
15.0%10.0%4.0%4.0%
Saint Anselm College Survey CenterNov 18 - 19
Noveletsky+0.0
5.0%4.0%5.0%2.0%
University of New Hampshire Survey CenterSep 17 - 23
Noveletsky+5.0
10.0%5.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

5
NH-01 Republican nominee?

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$551.0K
$413.3K
$275.5K
$137.8K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$551.0K
$291.9K
$259.1K
$14.4K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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