Prediction Edge
Republican
James Fishback

James Fishback

Republican candidate for Governor in Florida

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

James Fishback is trading at 2% to win the Florida Republican Governor nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleInvestor

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age31 years old (Jan 1, 1995)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundInvestor

EducationGeorgetown University (did not graduate)

Notable personal detailsJames Thomas Fishback is an American investor and political candidate running for the Republican nomination for Governor of Florida in 2026. He founded Azoria Partners and previously worked at Greenlight Capital. He attended Georgetown University (did not graduate). He filed as a Republican candidate for Florida Governor in 2025 and qualified for the 2026 election cycle in June 2026.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

The candidate has proposed a high, targeted 50% “OnlyFans” sin tax to raise revenue for education and related programs while also campaigning to abolish property taxes and push other pro-business measures. Public statements combine calls for new, substantial targeted taxes with proposals to reduce or eliminate other taxes and regulatory actions, producing mixed signals on an overall tax philosophy.

Healthcare

The candidate has expressed a commitment to expanding access to healthcare specifically for veterans in Florida but has not published broader policy proposals on Medicare, Medicaid, the ACA, a public option, or market-based reforms. Public campaign materials and news coverage emphasize affordability, housing, and immigration, with limited public statements on general healthcare policy beyond veterans' access. Available evidence is narrow and does not establish a clear overall healthcare stance.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate supports aggressive restrictions on legal immigration and prioritizes enforcement actions, including ending the H‑1B visa program, firing H‑1B holders in state employment, canceling state contracts with firms that employ H‑1B workers, and calling for a near‑total moratorium on immigration.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

The candidate supports protecting fetal life from conception and opposes abortion access. He has pledged to close abortion clinics and Planned Parenthood facilities in the state and replace them with crisis pregnancy centers. His public statements and campaign materials indicate support for policies that would effectively ban abortion statewide.

Climate & Energy

Opposes large AI datacenter construction in Florida on grounds that their energy use would raise electricity costs for families and harm local resources, and emphasizes policies that favor lower energy prices. Expresses support for greater fossil-fuel production and lower gasoline prices as part of broader economic affordability arguments.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate supports broad expansion of gun rights and proposes repealing Florida’s red flag laws and the bump-stock ban, and lowering the effective firearm ownership age to 18. He frames these changes as protecting adults’ right to self-defense and opposes gun-safety restrictions that followed mass shootings.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 29, 2026

James Fishback is staying on the Florida Republican governor primary ballot after a Tallahassee judge rejected a residency challenge from Lt. Gov. Jay Collins. The ruling came just before the August 18 primary and keeps Fishback in the race, where he is still trailing Byron Donalds in early polling. He also recently announced that he and his wife are expecting their first child. Earlier backlash over a social media confrontation remains part of the broader scrutiny around his campaign.

dos.elections.myflorida.com+67

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

David Jay Wolfson
12%10%8%6%4%2%0%
9.8%
James Fishback
J. Fishback
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
David Jay WolfsonJul 29, 2026
9.8%
Change ResearchJul 11, 2026
12.0%
The Tyson GroupJul 11, 2026
8.0%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 30, 2026
32.3%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 9, 2026
26.7%
The Public Sentiment InstituteJun 9, 2026
38.7%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Endorsers of James Fishback for Florida Republican Governor nominee?

Andrew Tate

Elected official

Andrew Tate endorsed James Fishback for governor.

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Dan Foganholi

Elected official

Dan Foganholi endorsed James Fishback for governor.

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New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Fundraising