Prediction Edge
Republican
Jason Cahill

Jason Cahill

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds — TX-21 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$31.5KMAR 10, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleBusiness executive

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

LocationTexas

BackgroundBusiness executive

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EducationTexas Tech University

Notable personal detailsJason Cahill is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas' 21st Congressional District in the 2026 election cycle. He served in the U.S. Navy (enlisted 1999) and reached the rank of Intelligence Specialist Second Class (E-5), later working as a civilian contractor supporting U.S. intelligence agencies in Iraq. He has also worked in the oil and gas industry and has described himself as a CEO based in the Texas Hill Country.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reducing federal spending and deficits, streamlining and shrinking federal agencies, eliminating burdensome regulations, and backing trade policies that protect American industry (including tariffs).

Healthcare

Supports defunding Planned Parenthood and opposes federal funding for organizations that perform or refer for abortions; frames abortion as not healthcare and emphasizes spending cuts and reducing federal programs rather than expanding government-run health coverage.

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Immigration & Border

Supports strong border enforcement, including funding for a border wall, defunding sanctuary cities, returning undocumented immigrants, fully funding ICE and Border Patrol, and overhauling asylum to restrict entry for those who do not embrace American values.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Identifies as pro-life and states that abortion is not healthcare. Supports defunding Planned Parenthood and pledges to be a reliable pro‑life vote in Congress.

Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes energy reliability and federal investment in infrastructure while describing himself as an oil-and-gas business owner; his campaign platform stresses reducing regulations and cutting federal spending. He frames energy as an economic and jobs issue tied to American industry and supports policies aligned with America First and pro-fossil-fuel priorities.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate states he is "100% pro-Second Amendment," opposes any gun control measures that would infringe on law-abiding citizens, and says he will defend the Second Amendment without apology. He also emphasizes backing law enforcement, opposing defunding the police, and supporting tough-on-crime policies.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Jason Cahill is in the news as a candidate in the 2026 election cycle, but the provided summaries do not show a clear, direct development involving him. Most of the recent coverage is about other races, especially Texas politics and the broader midterm landscape. Based on these reports, his current news value appears limited or unclear from the available information.

fec.gov+50

Latest Polls

TX-21 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Ragnar Research Partners
50%40%30%20%10%0%
7%
38%
5%
Jason Cahill
J. Cahill
Mark Teixeira
M. Teixeira
Michael Wheeler
M. Wheeler
Trey Trainor
T. Trainor
Date (Start - End)SpreadCahillTeixeiraWheelerTrainor
Ragnar Research PartnersFeb 5 - 7
Teixeira+31.0
7.0%38.0%5.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$382.6K
$286.9K
$191.3K
$95.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$382.6K
$0.00
$382.6K
$21.3K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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