Prediction Edge
Republican
Jason Cahill

Overview

Current roleU.S. Navy veteran (Intelligence Specialist)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

GenderMale

LocationTexas

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BackgroundU.S. Navy veteran (Intelligence Specialist)

EducationTexas Tech University (attendance reported)

Notable personal detailsJason Cahill is a Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas' 21st Congressional District. He enlisted in the U.S. Navy in 1999 and served as an Intelligence Specialist (E-5), later working as a civilian contractor supporting U.S. intelligence agencies in Iraq. He has worked in the oil and gas industry and describes himself as a business owner/CEO based in the Texas Hill Country.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports reducing federal spending and deficits, streamlining and shrinking federal agencies, eliminating burdensome regulations, and backing trade policies that protect American industry (including tariffs).

Healthcare

Supports defunding Planned Parenthood and opposes federal funding for organizations that perform or refer for abortions; frames abortion as not healthcare and emphasizes spending cuts and reducing federal programs rather than expanding government-run health coverage.

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Immigration & Border

Supports strong border enforcement, including funding for a border wall, defunding sanctuary cities, returning undocumented immigrants, fully funding ICE and Border Patrol, and overhauling asylum to restrict entry for those who do not embrace American values.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Identifies as pro-life and states that abortion is not healthcare. Supports defunding Planned Parenthood and pledges to be a reliable pro‑life vote in Congress.

Climate & Energy

The candidate emphasizes energy reliability and federal investment in infrastructure while describing himself as an oil-and-gas business owner; his campaign platform stresses reducing regulations and cutting federal spending. He frames energy as an economic and jobs issue tied to American industry and supports policies aligned with America First and pro-fossil-fuel priorities.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate states he is "100% pro-Second Amendment," opposes any gun control measures that would infringe on law-abiding citizens, and says he will defend the Second Amendment without apology. He also emphasizes backing law enforcement, opposing defunding the police, and supporting tough-on-crime policies.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 11, 2026

Jason Cahill is in the news because Kalshi suspended and fined him after saying he bet on his own race, which the company described as political insider trading. Kalshi said it has since added safeguards to stop candidates from trading on their own elections. Earlier coverage also placed him among the U.S. House races to watch in the 2026 midterms, but the betting issue is the main recent development.

fec.gov+47

Polls

TX-21 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
50%40%30%20%10%0%
7%
38%
5%
Jason Cahill
J. Cahill
Mark Teixeira
M. Teixeira
Michael Wheeler
M. Wheeler
Trey Trainor
T. Trainor
Date (Start - End)SpreadCahillTeixeiraWheelerTrainor
Polling Average
Teixeira+31.0
7.0%38.0%5.0%3.0%
Ragnar Research PartnersFeb 5 - 7
Teixeira+31.0
7.0%38.0%5.0%3.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$382.6K
$286.9K
$191.3K
$95.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$382.6K
$36.0K
$346.6K
$23.1K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements