Prediction Edge
Republican
Jason Corley

Jason Corley

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Texas

Live Odds — TX-19 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

1%chance to win

$50.3KMAY 27, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleLubbock County Commissioner (Precinct 2)

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationTexas

Show more

BackgroundLubbock County Commissioner (Precinct 2)

EducationWest Texas A&M University (bachelor’s degree)

Notable personal detailsJason Corley is a Republican candidate for the U.S. House in Texas’s 19th Congressional District (2026) and has served as Lubbock County Commissioner for Precinct 2 since 2019. He is a West Texas businessman with experience in the oil and gas industry and as a partner in a local fertilizer business. He is a graduate of Lubbock-Cooper High School and earned a bachelor’s degree from West Texas A&M University.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports cutting federal spending, reducing the national debt, auditing federal programs, and opposes tax increases on working families and small businesses. Has a record at the county level of blocking or opposing local tax increases.

Healthcare

Supports market-oriented changes to improve rural healthcare access, including reducing federal regulatory burdens on rural hospitals and addressing Medicare/Medicaid billing and fraud; favors health savings accounts (HSAs) and county-level funding approaches to make care more affordable. These positions focus on deregulation and targeted funding rather than expanded federal entitlement programs.

Show more

Immigration & Border

Supports stronger border security and enforcement while promoting policies that prioritize American workers; endorses rebuilding border security before foreign spending and has suggested reviving guest-worker style programs for migrant labor. Positions emphasize enforcement and controlled legal pathways rather than broad regularization or expansive asylum protections.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Jason Corley, a Lubbock County commissioner and 2026 candidate for TX-19, supported and voted for local ordinances that prohibit abortions in parts of his county and bar aiding or transporting someone to obtain an abortion outside the county. His actions include voting for a ‘sanctuary for the unborn’/abortion travel ban ordinance and related measures that restrict access and enable private enforcement against those who assist abortion access.

Climate & Energy

Jason Corley emphasizes American energy and energy independence, describes a career in oil and gas, and says he will prioritize American energy while supporting an America First agenda. His campaign materials link his background in the oil and gas sector and promote prioritizing domestic energy production.

Public Safety & Guns

Opposes red flag laws and any new federal gun restrictions, supports national concealed-carry reciprocity, and affirms the right of law-abiding citizens to keep and bear arms; also emphasizes strong support for law enforcement and opposes defunding police.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Jason Corley is being mentioned in coverage of a broader fight over voting rights and redistricting after recent Supreme Court rulings. The reports say civil rights groups are mobilizing against map changes in Southern states, including Texas, that could reduce Black representation. The coverage is focused on the wider political battle rather than on any specific new action by Corley himself.

fec.gov+46

Latest Polls

TX-19 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Harper Polling
40%30%20%10%0%
28%
9%
8%
Jason Corley
J. Corley
Tom Sell
T. Sell
Matt Smith
M. Smith
Abraham Enriquez
A. Enriquez
Donald May
D. May
Ryan Zink
R. Zink
James Barbee
J. Barbee
Date (Start - End)SpreadCorleySellSmithEnriquezMayZinkBarbee
Harper PollingFeb 10 - 10
Sell+26.0
2.0%28.0%9.0%8.0%1.0%1.0%0.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$41.7K
$31.2K
$20.8K
$10.4K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$41.7K
$0.00
$41.7K
$2.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements