Prediction Edge

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Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.

AL-01 House winner?

The selected contract has a verified final result.

  • Jerry Carl

    Will Republican win the House race for AL-01?

    Selected market

    Final: Yes

    Settled Nov 4, 2026, 5:02 AM UTC

Republican
Jerry Carl

Jerry Carl

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Alabama

Saved odds — AL-01 House winner?

Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.

99%chance to win

$3.1KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lower taxes and opposes tax increases and expansions of IRS enforcement. Emphasizes policies favorable to businesses and economic growth and has framed recent federal tax/IRS proposals as harmful to the business environment.

Healthcare

Opposes Medicare-for-All and supports repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act in favor of market-based, patient-centered approaches such as interstate competition for insurance and measures to lower premiums. Has cosponsored bipartisan bills to expand telehealth and pharmacy access for seniors and supported federal funding for local hospital equipment.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes strict border enforcement, supports construction of a border wall and increased resources for Border Patrol, backs legislation to end catch-and-release and expand removals, and has called for deporting illegal immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Jerry Carl is strongly anti-abortion and supports restricting access to abortion. He applauded the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision returning authority to the states, describes himself as “100 percent pro-life,” and has cosponsored federal measures such as heartbeat-detection and bans on taxpayer-funded abortions.

Climate & Energy

Jerry Carl supports expanding domestic oil and natural gas production, increasing offshore lease sales, and rolling back regulations he says hinder U.S. energy production. He has sponsored and promoted bills (e.g., the Unleashing American Energy Act included in the Lower Energy Costs Act) intended to boost fossil fuel leasing and streamline permitting. He opposes Green New Deal–style mandates while saying he favors market-driven and ‘‘cleaner’’ energy options like natural gas as part of energy independence efforts.

Public Safety & Guns

Jerry Carl opposes additional gun-control measures and frames gun violence as a problem of individuals and social issues rather than firearm regulations. He has defended the Second Amendment, said he will not support infringing gun rights, and voted against proposed federal assault-weapons restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 11, 2026

Jerry Carl is in the news because he is running in Alabama’s redrawn 1st Congressional District and has picked up a Trump endorsement ahead of the Aug. 11 Republican primary. Katie Britt also backed him in the race. The primary is part of Alabama’s court-ordered redistricting fight, which has reshaped several House districts and delayed or reset the election calendar.

fec.gov+53

Latest Polls

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

PI Polling
25%20%15%10%5%0%
20%
Jerry Carl
J. Carl
Date (Start - End)SpreadShare
PI PollingApr 22, 2026
–20.0%
PI PollingApr 2, 2026
–23.0%
The Alabama PollMar 8, 2026
–28.0%
AM Research GroupFeb 2, 2026
–43.0%
The Alabama PollJan 23, 2026
–25.2%
CygnalAug 22, 2025
–29.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.2M
$1.7M
$1.1M
$561.7K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.3M
$453.9K
$971.8K
$40.5K

Cycle 2024

$2.2M
$69.3K
$2.6M
$109.6K

Cycle 2026

$1.2M
$366.6K
$865.3K
$45.5K

Source: FEC

Not available in this saved edition

These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.

  • Endorsements