Prediction Edge
Republican
Jerry Carl

Jerry Carl

Overview

Current roleFormer U.S. Representative

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age67 years old (Jun 17, 1958)

GenderMale

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LocationAlabama

BackgroundBusiness owner

EducationSylacauga High School (graduated 1977)

Notable personal detailsJerry Lee Carl Jr. is a Republican politician and businessman from Mobile, Alabama. He served on the Mobile County Commission from 2012 to 2020, including terms as commission president, and represented Alabama's 1st congressional district in the U.S. House from January 3, 2021 to January 3, 2025. He has also worked as a sales representative and business owner/entrepreneur.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lower taxes and opposes tax increases and expansions of IRS enforcement. Emphasizes policies favorable to businesses and economic growth and has framed recent federal tax/IRS proposals as harmful to the business environment.

Healthcare

Opposes Medicare-for-All and supports repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act in favor of market-based, patient-centered approaches such as interstate competition for insurance and measures to lower premiums. Has cosponsored bipartisan bills to expand telehealth and pharmacy access for seniors and supported federal funding for local hospital equipment.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes strict border enforcement, supports construction of a border wall and increased resources for Border Patrol, backs legislation to end catch-and-release and expand removals, and has called for deporting illegal immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Jerry Carl is strongly anti-abortion and supports restricting access to abortion. He applauded the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision returning authority to the states, describes himself as “100 percent pro-life,” and has cosponsored federal measures such as heartbeat-detection and bans on taxpayer-funded abortions.

Climate & Energy

Jerry Carl supports expanding domestic oil and natural gas production, increasing offshore lease sales, and rolling back regulations he says hinder U.S. energy production. He has sponsored and promoted bills (e.g., the Unleashing American Energy Act included in the Lower Energy Costs Act) intended to boost fossil fuel leasing and streamline permitting. He opposes Green New Deal–style mandates while saying he favors market-driven and ‘‘cleaner’’ energy options like natural gas as part of energy independence efforts.

Public Safety & Guns

Jerry Carl opposes additional gun-control measures and frames gun violence as a problem of individuals and social issues rather than firearm regulations. He has defended the Second Amendment, said he will not support infringing gun rights, and voted against proposed federal assault-weapons restrictions.

Latest Insights

AL-01 Republican nominee?

24d

Carl’s nominee price is back at 87% after a run-up from 79% the prior day, reinforcing him as the clear market favorite going into Tuesday’s primary.

87%1%

AL-01 Republican nominee?

28d

Jerry Carl's odds are now 88%, topping the previous high of 69%.

88%19%

AL-01 Republican nominee?

29d

Jerry Carl's odds reached 79%, topping the previous high of 69% over the past 46 days.

79%10%

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 11, 2026

Jerry Carl is in the news because Alabama’s redistricting fight has disrupted the congressional primary in his district. The state moved the 1st, 2nd, 6th and 7th district primaries to August 11, and officials say votes cast in the earlier primary may be voided under the new map. The changes are part of a broader battle over House control, and candidate fields and momentum could still shift before the special elections.

fec.gov+38

Polls

AL-01 Republican nominee?
Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
28.0%
13.5%
5.6%
Jerry Carl
J. Carl
Rhett Marques
R. Marques
Joshua McKee
J. McKee
Austin Sidwell
A. Sidwell
James Richardson
J. Richardson
John Mills
J. Mills
Date (Start - End)SpreadCarlMarquesMcKeeSidwellRichardsonMills
Polling Average
Carl+14.5
28.0%13.5%5.6%2.5%0.5%0.5%
PI PollingApr 20 - 22
Marques+2.0
20.0%22.0%6.0%4.0%1.0%0.0%
PI PollingMar 31 - Apr 2
Carl+4.0
23.0%19.0%
The Alabama PollMar 5 - 8
Carl+9.0
28.0%19.0%9.0%
AM Research GroupJan 31 - Feb 2
Carl+36.0
43.0%7.0%2.0%1.0%0.0%1.0%
The Alabama PollJan 23 - 23
Carl+16.0
25.2%9.2%8.8%
CygnalAug 21 - 22
Carl+24.0
29.0%5.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$2.2M
$1.7M
$1.1M
$561.7K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.3M
$453.9K
$971.8K
$40.5K

Cycle 2024

$2.2M
$69.3K
$2.6M
$109.6K

Cycle 2026

$757.0K
$269.6K
$556.7K
$34.8K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements