Prediction Edge
Republican
Jerry Carl

Jerry Carl

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Alabama

Live Odds

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

Jerry Carl is trading at 100% to win the AL-01 Republican nominee? on prediction markets.

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports lower taxes and opposes tax increases and expansions of IRS enforcement. Emphasizes policies favorable to businesses and economic growth and has framed recent federal tax/IRS proposals as harmful to the business environment.

Healthcare

Opposes Medicare-for-All and supports repealing and replacing the Affordable Care Act in favor of market-based, patient-centered approaches such as interstate competition for insurance and measures to lower premiums. Has cosponsored bipartisan bills to expand telehealth and pharmacy access for seniors and supported federal funding for local hospital equipment.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes strict border enforcement, supports construction of a border wall and increased resources for Border Patrol, backs legislation to end catch-and-release and expand removals, and has called for deporting illegal immigrants.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Jerry Carl is strongly anti-abortion and supports restricting access to abortion. He applauded the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision returning authority to the states, describes himself as “100 percent pro-life,” and has cosponsored federal measures such as heartbeat-detection and bans on taxpayer-funded abortions.

Climate & Energy

Jerry Carl supports expanding domestic oil and natural gas production, increasing offshore lease sales, and rolling back regulations he says hinder U.S. energy production. He has sponsored and promoted bills (e.g., the Unleashing American Energy Act included in the Lower Energy Costs Act) intended to boost fossil fuel leasing and streamline permitting. He opposes Green New Deal–style mandates while saying he favors market-driven and ‘‘cleaner’’ energy options like natural gas as part of energy independence efforts.

Public Safety & Guns

Jerry Carl opposes additional gun-control measures and frames gun violence as a problem of individuals and social issues rather than firearm regulations. He has defended the Second Amendment, said he will not support infringing gun rights, and voted against proposed federal assault-weapons restrictions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedAug 11, 2026

Jerry Carl is in the news because he is running in Alabama’s redrawn 1st Congressional District and has picked up a Trump endorsement ahead of the Aug. 11 Republican primary. Katie Britt also backed him in the race. The primary is part of Alabama’s court-ordered redistricting fight, which has reshaped several House districts and delayed or reset the election calendar.

fec.gov+53

Latest Polls

AL-01 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Jerry Carl currently averages 28.0%, ranking first in this race, 14.5 points ahead of the nearest opponent.

Polling average: 28.0%Position: firstMargin: +14.5 ptsLatest poll: 20.0% (Apr 20 - 22)Polls included: 6

Average recalculated from polls through Apr 20 - 22.

Polling Average
40%30%20%10%0%
28.0%
13.5%
5.6%
Jerry Carl
J. Carl
Rhett Marques
R. Marques
Joshua McKee
J. McKee
Austin Sidwell
A. Sidwell
James Dees
J. Dees
James Richardson
J. Richardson
John Mills
J. Mills
Date (Start - End)SpreadCarlMarquesMcKeeSidwellDeesRichardsonMills
Polling Average
Carl+14.5
28.0%13.5%5.6%2.5%1.5%0.5%0.5%
PI PollingApr 20 - 22
Marques+2.0
20.0%22.0%6.0%4.0%1.0%1.0%0.0%
PI PollingMar 31 - Apr 2
Carl+4.0
23.0%19.0%
The Alabama PollMar 5 - 8
Carl+9.0
28.0%19.0%9.0%
AM Research GroupJan 31 - Feb 2
Carl+36.0
43.0%7.0%2.0%1.0%2.0%0.0%1.0%
The Alabama PollJan 23 - 23
Carl+16.0
25.2%9.2%8.8%
CygnalAug 21 - 22
Carl+24.0
29.0%5.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$2.2M
$1.7M
$1.1M
$561.7K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.3M
$453.9K
$971.8K
$40.5K

Cycle 2024

$2.2M
$69.3K
$2.6M
$109.6K

Cycle 2026

$1.2M
$366.6K
$865.3K
$45.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements