Prediction Edge
Democrat
Jill Tokuda

Jill Tokuda

Democratic candidate for U.S. House in Hawaii

Live Odds — HI-02 House winner?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

97.3%chance to win

$9.8KNOV 7, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleU.S. Representative

PartyDemocratic

Political ideologyProgressive Democrat

Age50 years old (Mar 3, 1976)

GenderFemale

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LocationHawaii

BackgroundPolitician

EducationThe George Washington University — B.A., International Relations (minor: Japanese Studies)

Notable personal detailsJill Naomi Tokuda is a U.S. Representative for Hawaiʻi’s 2nd Congressional District, serving since 2023. She previously served in the Hawaiʻi State Senate and has worked as a consultant and business owner. She earned a B.A. in International Relations from The George Washington University with a minor in Japanese Studies. Tokuda is married to Kyle Michibata and they have two sons.

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Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Jill Tokuda supports expanding the Child Tax Credit, providing targeted tax relief to families and disaster survivors, and extending tax credits that lower health coverage costs. She has also backed Social Security changes that would strengthen benefits while requiring the wealthiest Americans to pay more, and she has opposed legislation she says would extend tax cuts to the ultra-wealthy while cutting social programs.

Healthcare

Jill Tokuda supports Medicare for All and describes healthcare as a human right. She also backs expanding access to care through rural health initiatives and voted to extend ACA premium tax credits to prevent coverage losses and premium increases.

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Immigration & Border

Tokuda emphasizes immigrant rights and legal protections, including guidance on asserting rights during ICE encounters and knowing the difference between ICE and judicial warrants. She has also opposed additional DHS and ICE funding, saying she will not support expanded ICE operations without transparency, accountability, and humane treatment.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Jill Tokuda supports protecting and expanding abortion access and reproductive freedom. Her campaign materials say she backed the Women’s Health Protection Act, the Right to Contraception Act, and fighting to ensure people can make decisions about their own bodies without interference from politicians.

Climate & Energy

Jill Tokuda supports federal investment in climate resilience, including modernizing the electric grid, expanding renewable energy, and upgrading water systems. She has also opposed legislation she described as a giveaway to big fossil fuel interests and backed renewable-energy and grid-resilience funding for Hawaiʻi.

Public Safety & Guns

Jill Tokuda supports an aggressive gun-reform agenda that includes banning assault weapons and high-capacity magazines, requiring comprehensive background checks for all gun purchases and transfers, cracking down on ghost guns, and implementing red flag laws. She also supports restrictions on bump stocks and multi-burst trigger activators, safe-storage measures, and stronger firearms handling rules for people disqualified due to mental illness or psychiatric admissions.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Recent coverage does not report a major new development involving Jill Tokuda herself. The items mostly focus on broader 2026 election and Supreme Court issues that could shape House races, plus other Democrats and Trump-related political news. Tokuda is mentioned only indirectly in the context of the wider campaign environment.

tokuda.house.gov+40

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$1.0M
$781.8K
$521.2K
$260.6K
$0

2022

2024

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2022

$1.0M
$200.7K
$841.7K
$35.1K

Cycle 2024

$989.5K
$483.4K
$706.8K
$29.4K

Cycle 2026

$820.7K
$570.4K
$733.8K
$38.6K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

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