Prediction Edge
Republican
Jim Carlin

Jim Carlin

Overview

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyTrump-aligned Republican

GenderMale

LocationIowa

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BackgroundAttorney

EducationBachelor’s degree in economics, University of Massachusetts

Notable personal detailsJim Carlin is an American attorney and Republican politician from Sioux City, Iowa. He served in the Iowa House of Representatives in 2017 and later served in the Iowa Senate representing District 3 (2017–2023). Carlin has run for the Republican nomination for U.S. Senate in Iowa, including filing with the FEC for the 2026 election cycle.

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Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Supports major tax reductions and limiting tax increases, including lowering or eliminating corporate and income taxes, prioritizing balanced budgets and sound money (including consideration of a gold standard).

Healthcare

Supports limiting federal involvement in health care and emphasizes individual choice and medical freedom (including opposition to vaccine mandates). Has sponsored state-level bills to protect physicians who prescribe contested COVID-19 treatments and has called for reducing government role in healthcare costs.

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Immigration & Border

The candidate emphasizes securing the U.S. border and stronger border enforcement, supports enforcing visa laws, and links stricter border security to combating drug trafficking. He indicates that border security should precede discussions of eligibility for citizenship or guest-worker programs. The campaign calls for tougher laws and increased enforcement to address illegal migration and fentanyl/drug flows.

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports defining life at conception and strongly restricts abortion access, including backing heartbeat (approximately six-week) and 20-week abortion bans and opposing taxpayer-funded abortion. Has led and promoted pro-life legislation while serving in the Iowa Senate and in his campaign materials.

Climate & Energy

The candidate supports expanding domestic energy production and lower energy costs while also saying farmers should have opportunities to profit from biofuels, wind, solar, and carbon credits. Public materials and interviews emphasize market-based approaches and limited government intervention rather than endorsement of aggressive emissions targets or Green New Deal–style policies.

Public Safety & Guns

Jim Carlin strongly supports Second Amendment rights, including Iowa’s constitutional-carry approach and national concealed-carry reciprocity. He opposes red-flag-style laws and federal incentives that he says undermine due process and gun owners’ rights. His campaign materials commit to standing against efforts to weaken gun ownership protections.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJul 15, 2026

Jim Carlin lost the Iowa Republican Senate primary to Ashley Hinson, who won the nomination and will move on to the general election. After the result, Carlin urged supporters not to vote for Hinson, underscoring the split in the GOP race. Earlier coverage had cast Hinson as the heavy favorite, with major national Republican backing behind her campaign.

fec.gov+39

Polls

Iowa Republican Senate nominee?
Polling Average
80%60%40%20%0%
22%
61%
Jim Carlin
J. Carlin
Ashley Hinson
A. Hinson
Date (Start - End)SpreadCarlinHinson
Polling Average
Hinson+39.0
22.0%61.0%
JMC AnalyticsMay 27 - 28
Hinson+39.0
22.0%61.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Endorsements

Iowa Republican Senate nominee?

Endorsers of Jim Carlin for Iowa Republican Senate nominee?

Michael Flynn

Public figure

Michael Flynn endorsed Jim Carlin in the Iowa U.S. Senate race

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Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$494.4K
$370.8K
$247.2K
$123.6K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$494.4K
$5.3K
$489.2K
$27.2K

Source: FEC