Prediction Edge
Republican
Jim Oberweis

Jim Oberweis

Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida

Live Odds — FL-19 Republican nominee?

Current prediction-market probability for the candidate, updated as market prices change.

0%chance to win

$156.5KAUG 25, 2026

Candidate Overview

Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.

Current roleFormer State Senator

PartyRepublican

Political ideologyConservative Republican

Age80 years old (Jun 10, 1946)

GenderMale

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LocationFlorida

BackgroundPolitician

EducationUniversity of Illinois at Urbana–Champaign (BA)

Notable personal detailsJames D. Oberweis is a Republican politician, businessman, and investment manager who served in the Illinois Senate representing the 25th District from 2013 to 2021. He has worked in financial services and founded Oberweis Asset Management, and he led the family dairy business Oberweis Dairy. In 2025 he filed to run for the U.S. House in Florida’s 19th Congressional District in the 2026 cycle.

SourcesShow

Political Positions

LiberalConservative

Economy & Taxes

Advocates limiting federal government size and spending, opposing new taxes, and restoring fiscal discipline to reduce deficits and national debt. Commits to protecting taxpayers by opposing income-tax increases and cutting federal bureaucracy to promote economic growth. Supports policies aimed at lowering taxes and restricting government to core functions.

Healthcare

Supports market-based health reforms including portable insurance and health savings accounts, opposes broad federal healthcare expansions, and has previously called for repeal of the Affordable Care Act. Advocates limiting federal spending on healthcare and restricting taxpayer-funded healthcare benefits for undocumented immigrants.

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Immigration & Border

Supports securing the southern border through enhanced barriers, technological monitoring, and increased Border Patrol staffing; opposes taxpayer-funded benefits for undocumented immigrants and favors employer verification like E‑Verify. Backs legal immigration and targeted seasonal visas (H‑2A/H‑2B) while opposing illegal entry and measures that let people ‘cut the line.’

Abortion & Reproductive Rights

Supports the right to life and believes once human life is determined in the womb it must be protected; favors reasonable restrictions on abortion such as parental notification and a ban on late-term abortions.

Climate & Energy

Supports U.S. energy independence through increased domestic oil and gas exploration and production while endorsing research and development toward cost‑efficient renewable energy; opposes federal actions that block fossil fuel infrastructure. Emphasizes market choice for vehicles and gradual transition rather than aggressive regulatory mandates.

Public Safety & Guns

The candidate states strong support for the Second Amendment, endorses Constitutional Carry laws, and emphasizes enforcing existing gun laws while opposing additional federal restrictions. The campaign frames gun ownership as an absolute right for self-defense.

Latest News

AINews Summary
Last updatedSep 2, 2026

Jim Oberweis is in the news because he is running in the crowded Republican primary for Florida’s 19th Congressional District. The race has become more competitive after Donald Trump endorsed Catalina Lauf, while Oberweis is one of several candidates trying to win the nomination in a heavily Republican district. Recent coverage also notes that Florida redistricting could shape the district’s political landscape, but the main story is the crowded primary itself.

fec.gov+47

Latest Polls

FL-19 Republican nominee?

Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Jim Oberweis currently averages 10.7%, ranking third in this race, 0.7 points behind the next candidate.

Polling average: 10.7%Position: thirdMargin: -0.7 ptsLatest poll: 11.7% (Aug 4 - 6)Polls included: 5

Average recalculated from polls through Aug 4 - 6.

Polling Average
20%15%10%5%0%
10.7%
14.6%
11.4%
6.3%
5.8%
Jim Oberweis
J. Oberweis
Catalina Lauf
C. Lauf
Jim Schwartzel
J. Schwartzel
Chris Collins
C. Collins
Madison Cawthorn
M. Cawthorn
Ola Hawatmeh
O. Hawatmeh
Date (Start - End)SpreadOberweisLaufSchwartzelCollinsCawthornHawatmeh
Polling Average
Lauf+3.9
10.7%14.6%11.4%6.3%5.8%2.0%
Victory InsightsAug 4 - 6
Schwartzel+7.4
11.7%18.9%19.1%8.0%6.0%4.0%
CygnalAug 5 - 6
Lauf+5.0
15.0%20.0%16.0%
Victory InsightsJun 20 - 21
Schwartzel+0.9
11.9%4.9%12.8%3.4%5.2%0.0%
InquireOct 4 - 6
Collins+1.0
8.0%5.0%9.0%8.0%
InquireOct 4 - 6
Oberweis+2.0
7.0%4.0%5.0%4.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Campaign Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026

Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.

Total raisedCash on hand
$5.3M
$4.0M
$2.7M
$1.3M
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$5.3M
$2.2M
$3.1M
$162.2K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements