
Saved Kalshi settlement results
These are market contract results, not election calls or vote totals. News, polls, prices and charts remain as captured.
Observation saved Nov 4, 2026, 11:35 AM UTC. No automatic updates.
FL-01 House winner?
The selected contract has a verified final result.
Final: Yes
Settled Nov 4, 2026, 2:16 AM UTC

Jimmy Patronis
Republican candidate for U.S. House in Florida
General Election
Voters choose the office holder.
Saved odds — FL-01 House winner?
Prediction-market probability saved with this edition; no automatic updates.
98.9%chance to win
Candidate Overview
Key details about the candidate’s background, party, office sought and current campaign.
Current roleU.S. Representative
PartyRepublican
Political ideologyConservative Republican
Age54 years old (Apr 13, 1972)
GenderMale
Show moreShow less
LocationFlorida
BackgroundPolitician
EducationGulf Coast State College (A.A./A.S., restaurant management)
Notable personal detailsJimmy Theo Patronis Jr. is a Republican U.S. Representative for Florida’s 1st Congressional District, sworn in on April 2, 2025. He previously served as Florida’s Chief Financial Officer (2017–2025) and earlier represented the Panama City area in the Florida House of Representatives (2006–2014) and served on the Florida Public Service Commission (2015–2017). He earned an associate degree in restaurant management from Gulf Coast State College and a bachelor’s degree from Florida State University, and has worked in his family’s Panama City Beach seafood restaurant business.
SourcesShowHide
Political Positions
Economy & Taxes
Supports tax relief measures for homeowners and small businesses, opposes expansion of IRS enforcement, and has promoted state-level tax cuts and debt reduction while criticizing federal tax/insurance policies. Emphasizes policies to reduce taxes and provide targeted deductions or exemptions rather than advocating higher taxes or wealth redistribution.
Healthcare
Jimmy Patronis emphasizes preventing fraud in the ACA/Marketplace, supports targeted state programs such as Florida KidCare for children, and has expressed that Medicaid must be fiscally sustainable with measures like work requirements for some beneficiaries. His public statements prioritize market integrity, fraud enforcement, and fiscal restraint in government healthcare programs.
Show moreShow less
Immigration & Border
Jimmy Patronis emphasizes strict enforcement and border security, endorsing state and federal measures to crack down on illegal immigration and supporting actions such as relocations and expanded enforcement efforts. He has backed special sessions and state-level immigration enforcement bodies and described a ‘‘zero-tolerance’’ approach to illegal border crossings.
Abortion & Reproductive Rights
Jimmy Patronis has publicly opposed a 2024-2025 ballot initiative (Amendment 4) that would have enshrined abortion rights in the Florida Constitution and participated in pledges to fund opposition to that measure, signaling support for restrictions on abortion access. His public actions align with Republican state leaders working to defend existing or more restrictive abortion limits.
Climate & Energy
Supports actions opposing ESG-based financial restrictions and climate-activist pressures on banks and businesses, and has framed ESG efforts as harmful to Florida’s economy and investors. Emphasizes protecting fossil-fuel-dependent industries (meat/dairy/agriculture) and resisting aggressive climate-driven financial or regulatory measures while supporting limited policy steps such as EV fire safety oversight. Positions are expressed in official statements and press releases from his tenure as Florida Chief Financial Officer and public officeholder roles.
Public Safety & Guns
Supports strong Second Amendment protections, opposes measures he views as infringing on gun purchases or enabling corporate tracking of firearm sales, and has promoted state actions to block such measures. Emphasizes defending gun ownership rights and backing policies that prevent financial institutions from flagging or reporting lawful firearm and ammunition purchases.
Latest News
Jimmy Patronis is in the news as one of the Florida Republican candidates endorsed by Donald Trump ahead of the 2026 primary elections. The biggest recent focus is the crowded Florida primary, where ballot wording in the governor’s race has caused some voters to accidentally create overvotes that would not count unless corrected. Overall, the reports point to a competitive and somewhat confusing primary environment rather than any specific new development about Patronis himself.
Latest Polls
Recent polling results and the candidate's current average in the race.

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne
Campaign Fundraising
Latest report: Cycle 2026Campaign finance totals from the latest available reporting period.
2026
LatestCycle 2026
Source: FEC
Not available in this saved edition
These sections were unavailable when this edition was saved. No automatic updates.
- Endorsements


