Prediction Edge

Overview

Current roleU.S. Air Force officer (retired)

LocationNew York

BackgroundU.S. Air Force officer (retired)

Notable personal detailsJohn Cappello is a Democratic candidate for the U.S. House in New York’s 17th Congressional District. He is a retired U.S. Air Force veteran and has worked in national security roles, including as a senior fellow for military affairs at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies. His Air Force career included service as a U.S. Air Force attaché and acting defense attaché, and work supporting missile defense programs in Tel Aviv.

SourcesShow

Positions

LiberalConservative

Healthcare

John Cappello has said the United States should be able to solve its healthcare affordability problems and identifies healthcare costs as a major constituent concern, but he has not published detailed policy proposals on his campaign website. Public interviews and local reporting show general support for improving affordability without specifying positions such as supporting a public option, Medicare expansion, or market-based reforms.

News

AINews Summary
Last updatedJun 12, 2026

John Cappello is in the news as one of the Democrats running in New York’s 17th Congressional District, a race that is drawing heavy attention ahead of the 2026 election. The latest coverage centers on the competitive district and a ballot petition dispute in the Democratic primary, where a judge upheld Effie Phillips-Staley’s petition and referred the matter for possible investigation. The race is being watched closely because it could help decide control of the U.S. House.

fec.gov+49

Polls

NY-17 Democratic nominee?
Polling Average
25%20%15%10%5%0%
21.3%
20.7%
10%
5.3%
John Cappello
J. Cappello
Cait Conley
C. Conley
Beth Davidson
B. Davidson
Peter Chatzky
P. Chatzky
Effie Phillips-Staley
E. Phillips-Staley
Mike Sacks
M. Sacks
Date (Start - End)SpreadCappelloConleyDavidsonChatzkyPhillips-StaleySacks
Polling Average
Conley+20.3
1.0%21.3%20.7%10.0%5.3%2.3%
Global Strategy GroupMay 7 - 12
Conley+27.0
2.0%29.0%22.0%6.0%4.0%
Impact ResearchFeb 24 - 26
Davidson+22.0
1.0%17.0%23.0%8.0%5.0%1.0%
Lake Research PartnersJan 27 - Feb 1
Conley+18.0
0.0%18.0%17.0%12.0%5.0%2.0%

Aggregation source: FiftyPlusOne

Fundraising

Latest report: Cycle 2026
Total raisedCash on hand
$64.8K
$48.6K
$32.4K
$16.2K
$0

2026

Latest
Year
Total raised
Cash on hand
Total spent
Burn rate

Cycle 2026

$64.8K
$12.6K
$52.2K
$3.5K

Source: FEC

New updates coming soon

We're monitoring and will update when new data impacts the race.

  • Endorsements